Quote (IceMage @ Jan 18 2018 07:14am)
Trump probably didn't know much, which is why he should've kept his mouth shut. So far it's questionable whether the dossier was part of the justification for a FISA warrant. If it was, either the information in the dossier was credible(which is bad for Trump), the other information presented to the judge(besides the dossier) was credible, or the process isn't stringent enough. Either way, I don't see how it has anything to do with Obama. You constantly criticize the lefties on reddit for non-evidence based speculation, why are you engaging in it?
Most of what we know from all the media insight into Russia-Trump and all that jazz comes from the same credibility of sources as the claim that the FISA warrant used the Steele dossier. There are multiple journalists reporting that "sources" have explicitly confirmed that the dossier
was cited as one element among others in the FISA application. There has been no proof provided- we don't have the actual paperwork- but B-tier journalists have been staking this position. Hannity has Sara Carter saying she has spoken to unnamed 'senior law enforcement officials' in the DoJ and elsewhere that confirmed it, and Fox News has staked itself on that claim. CNN reported it back in April a year ago citing "US officials briefed on the investigation":
http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/18/politics/fbi-dossier-carter-page-donald-trump-russia-investigation/index.htmlNow, does that mean we know 100% for sure that the Steele Dossier was indeed actually used in the FISA application? No. But we can reasonably figure thats the case based on the general agreement between opposed sides and the lack of pushback.
We can only know it so far as we know any other detail, like all the leaks over Flynn or Trump Jr. And when
false information was leaked, it was repudiated. This claim hasn't been contested.
Quote
Trump's original claim still makes no sense. I'm not going to cut it into segments or debate whether to take it seriously or literally, he's president, and unless Obama was actually involved in approving the wiretaps somehow, the claim makes no sense. You'd think Trump would have a little bit of respect for his predecessor, and give him the benefit of the doubt before tweeting something for the world to see, but he's insanely erratic.
You say it makes
no sense, but then you make a case that it makes partial sense.
Even if Obama himself wasn't personally involved, its still the Obama administration wiretapping Trump's campaign. That makes Trump's language imprecise and misleading at worst, but not nonsensical, which is what his critics were claiming when he made the explosive allegation. Its a far cry from suggesting that Trump is off his rocker and is making up pure bullshit about wiretaps, to learning that senior Obama administration officials were involved in wiretapping Trump, involved in unmasking those wiretapped transcripts and leaking them, and then putting in the caveat that we can't put the big cheese's fingerprints on it.
But then there's the other possibility, that Obama was indeed involved in the process.
we're talking about high level officials who report to the president and are already known as politically corrupt partisan actors who can't be trusted to act independently- look at what Comey had to say about Loretta Lynch- and everyone in the democratic party fell in line under Obama and/or Clinton. Can we really contend that Obama's entourage and their dubious reputation were acting completely independent and keeping Obama in the dark while they conducted some of the most extremely sensitive and politically volatile intelligence gathering in the entire history of America by spying on their political opponent during an election? The suggestion that all this could occur without Obama's involvement is stretching credulity. It requires a presumption that everyone was acting in good faith and being ethical professionals.
But we already have proof they weren't, because these wiretaps were leaked to destroy michael flynn.
And when we examine it from the cynical lens, with presumption of bad faith, then everything about this story stinks and doesn't pass the smell test.
No seasoned political bureau heads could possibly look at the prospect of literally wiretapping trump tower during the campaign and not set off any red flags. These guys were around for watergate, they aren't idiots. When we've got figures like Comey who are making political calculations as to sensitivities concerning the Clinton email case and breaking FBI protocols to make public statements before the election, how can we simultaneously pretend that they were able to conduct some clandestine intelligence gathering on the republican presidential candidates campaign manager and somehow completely divorce their operation from political consideration? I like to imagine that in a world run by people acting in good faith and without ulterior motive, the natural reaction to such a request for wiretapping would be that you'd need to have incontrovertible, ironclad slam-dunk evidence to justify such an operation. Given the potential fallout and perception and optics, no reasonable bureau chief would sign off on such an idea unless they had a smoking gun. And I think we can safely say at this point there was no smoking gun, given the past year.
To illustrate that point more colorfully, imagine the "
I think the Queen has been replaced by a reptilian space alien" scenario. If your spies want to take a peek up the skirts of the queen of england to find out whether she's got the usual womans parts or has a frilled cloaca, you better have some pretty damn convincing evidence she's a space monster before you try it. Because it makes for an international incident if you get caught. And then, there's the implausibility of the scenario to discount the accusation- space monsters don't exist, and Donald Trump has been an American business mogul and personality for decades and the suggestion that he's suddenly doing Putin's bidding is fucking ludicrous.
Of course, all this hinges upon one more consideration- we wouldn't know any of this if Hillary had won. And those Obama administration officials would
know that they could have kept this operation secret, if Hillary had won.
If they were indeed corrupt and spying on Trump for political gain and she won, they'd have gotten away with it.
This post was edited by Goomshill on Jan 18 2018 08:29am