Quote (thundercock @ 9 Aug 2022 10:15)
Given the current mood, I don't think that the person exists. When you look at all the candidates and what each candidate brings to the table, Trump is simply the best by a large margin. Even if this magic candidate (or candidates) existed, can you really trust GOP voters to VOTE for that better alternative?Weren't there about 20 better alternatives in 2016? Lastly, that candidate will be attacked by Trump. Can they withstand the attack? I think one possible window of a Trump failure is if he announces a run before the midterms and the Dems end up with a trifecta because of it. Even then, Trump is an EXCELLENT campaigner and would probably be able to hold onto just enough support to win the primary.
No, I genuinely don't think so. Cruz and JEB! would have been crushed in the general. As would Carson, Paul, Huckabee and Santorum. Christie was scandal-plague and would have been defined over it by Democrats. Rubio and Kasich might have won because Hillary was that detested, but I can also easily see their popular vote margin ending at +/-1% while losing the EC.
The 2016 GOP field was quite weak if we're being honest, which is the reason why an outsider like Trump was able to waltz in and wipe the floor with all of them in the first place. And Trump's coalition was super efficient in the EC while that of e.g. Romney was at a distinct disadvantage. All in all, Trump was probably the strongest candidate from this field.
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IMO, a lasting coup requires one of two things:
1) Quick stability to ensure that the people on the sidelines don't really care all that much
2) The ability to crush the opposition when they openly rebel.
I could see either one happening in America.
With how hyperpolarized America is, I don't see 1) happening, and considering how armed and unruly Americans are, I also cannot see 2) happening easily. I can only imagine a successful coup if the coupists have the full support of the military.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 9 2022 02:51am