Quote (thesnipa @ 4 Aug 2022 18:06)
first gen smart phones were a god damn mess lol. they had storage issues, apps were laughably simplistic, and internet coverage sucked for a long time. people literally said the same type things about smartphone issues in the early days you're saying now. "my ipod has 20 gb, why would i want a 1 gb iphone", "coverage is awful i cant wait 5 mins to load an email", "battery life on these is awful im not going everywhere with a charging cord", "the price point is too high for average consumers", etc.
I'm not saying somalis will be driving teslas in 15 years, but if u dont think average first world consumers will all have EVs in 20 or so years i think you're crazy and disregard exponential progress patterns.
then 3rd worlders will be demanding self driving cars the same way they demanded internet access.
The first smartphone (iPhone 1) was released in 2007, four years later, in 2011, the "smartphone revolution" was already in full swing and the technological and software shortcomings were being fixed rapidly.
The first EVs were released by Tesla in 2008 (Roadster) or 2012 (Model S). Ten years later, the market share of EVs is still small, they still need to be heavily subsidized and are artificialy pushed into the market by politics (announcing deadlines after which ICE cars will be banned), and the progress on their technological issues is still slow. And that's not even addressing the shortage of rare earths that the world will run into if everyone switches to EVs, an issue which smartphones didn't have because their batteries are magnitudes smaller.
Yes, first world consumers will drive EVs in 20 or so years - but that's because politics banned the alternative, not because EVs organically outcompeted ICE cars.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 4 2022 10:25am