Quote (IceMage @ Dec 15 2017 01:21am)
Status quo American foreign policy is hawkish, and I don't think we can just put aside a president's rhetoric, even when that president is known to speak in hyperbole. Trump has increased the troop levels in Afghanistan. Yes, Syria continues to wind down, I don't think there's good reason to think that wouldn't happen under a president Clinton. He's punted the Iran deal to congress, which is a move praised by hawks. He doesn't seem interested in empowering the State Department or his SoS, which may just point to his ignorant isolationism more than his hawkishness, because he doesn't realize if these problems aren't solved diplomatically they'll have to be solved militarily.
Trump hasn't faced the same circumstances as Bush or Obama... so far he hasn't really had a clear cut situation where past presidents would've intervened. Trump's instincts are non-interventionist, I agree, but he's surrounded himself with status quo national security officials who want to arm Ukraine and increase our presence in the Middle East.
Maintaining the status quo is not hawkish. The trend of US presidents was to be hawkish, which created
new conflicts, but staying committed to the conflicts we are already in isn't hawkish, making new ones is.
Trump has faced at least one major challenge now in the Myanmar crisis, and his instinct was non-interventionalist. And that's not necessarily a good or bad thing. Did he allow a humanitarian crisis to unfold, or did he avert the usual US fuck-up that makes things worse?
But as far as hawkishness, if that's our only real data point to examine, Trump is not a hawk, nor a dove. A dove would withdraw from syria and the middle east and all that, but there is a middle ground that is not strongly in one direction or the other