Quote (Black XistenZ @ May 29 2019 09:49pm)
uh, I dont think the bolded part is a valid logical conclusion.
the way I understand it, and the way it's phrased in the joint statement, is that Mueller never aimed at reaching a conclusion on obstruction, one way or the other, because of the OLC policy.
since Mueller in his report explicitly states that he doesnt really agree with this policy and thinks that a sitting president could very well be indicted if there was compelling enough evidence, what he really reaffirmed here is the following:
the OLC precedent was not the only thing keeping Mueller from finding Trump guilty of obstruction, correct. but rather in the sense that the evidence for trump's guilt was not so overwhelming that it would have prompted Mueller to challenge/defy the precedent. this is a much weaker statement than "would surely not have indicted even without this policy".
at the same time, there also was not such an overwhelming lack of evidence of obstruction that Mueller could have come to a clear conclusion that Trump did not obstruct justice. hence the "... does not exonerate... otherwise, we would have said so"-stance.
so, simply put, the evidence for obstruction by Trump was somewhere in the middle, not strong enough to overcome the OLC precedent, not strong enough to exonerate Trump. since Mueller felt bound to the precedent under these circumstances, he didnt bother coming to a definitive conclusion on this question because it wouldnt be able to lead to an indictment anyway, and because the investigation of possible obstruction was conducted without aiming at coming to such a conclusion in the first place.
But Barr's statement that Mueller agreed with, that he would not find a crime 'but for the OLC precedent', doesn't follow from a consideration of whether he could overcome the OLC precedent. If we're looking into a hypothetical 'but for the OLC precedent', you'd have to remove it from consideration, that's the point. It wouldn't speak to whether Mueller considered overriding a precedent he may or may not have agreed with, and chose to obey in actuality- under the hypothetical, that precedent doesn't exist, and yet he'd still not 'find a crime'.
If Mueller's only thought on the hypothetical was that he wouldn't
know whether he'd charge 'but for the precedent'- then that would have been his answer to Barr, not an affirmation. And Mueller not having an opinion would beggar belief, because the man's been wrapped up in it for 2.5 years and even if he set out intending not to draw a conclusion, it was clearly his consideration and he had all the time in the world to make up his mind. So if Mueller tells Barr he wouldn't find a crime but for the OLC opinion, and Mueller affirms Barr's account- we can only conclude that Mueller had sufficient reasons to conclusively state he would
not conclusively state Trump had committed a crime. Nevermind the tortured double negative and how this all makes my head spin.
Now we can debate what led Mueller to conclude he wouldn't charge anyway. His own personal feels on appropriate role of the DoJ. Some other legalese precedent. Desire for congress to present the constitutional option. Lack of evidence. Whatever.
But its clear he had a reason. And having read the Mueller Report, its abundantly clear that they simply lacked any evidence of intent. The whole thing boiled down to "Trump has taken actions which aren't inherently criminal and aren't inherently unethical, most of which are constitutional powers of the president like firing Comey, and we have no way to know whether Trump
intended to obstruct justice with these actions, and thus we can't charge him". And that lack of intent evidence would readily explain both Mueller's unease with making determinations, his punting to congress and the awkward statements. He can't be a mindreader after all. And it also shows Barr's point of contention over the law with Mueller: Barr's legal theory is that the president can't commit a crime by exercising presidential powers, because the alternative is giving the DoJ authority to second guess the
intent of the president. If the DoJ is saying that an inherent power of the presidency becomes illegal when the DoJ determines its intent to be corrupt, then the DoJ is usurping the judgment of the president and ruling with their own discretion. Mueller disagreed with that.
In the end I think it shows Mueller's team ascribing to more a bureaucratic philosophy while barr is more of a constitutionalist politician.