Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ Jul 22 2021 03:28pm)
The metric you are using is Race Crime / Race Population. The metric I was using is number of people victimized by their own race / number of people of the race victimized.
I.e. If you are a white person who was murdered, 84% chance it was by another white person.
If you want to talk about Crimes committed / population, we can have that conversation, but it's important that first you acknowledge that X on X crime is always higher than X on Y crime. I.e. a member of a certain race is always more likely to victimize a member of their own race than a member of another race.
Yes I know - its true that if you are white, you are more like to be murdered by a white person. Although its important to note that this is only a half truth, because it belies the condition that we only look at the gross number of assaults committed annually by each ethnicity. You are still 12x more likely to be attacked by a black person if we are given equal representation from both groups. Populations with equal representation of black and white see rampant black on white crime at a rate of 12:1.
My whole position is that this fact is an irrelevant red herring, because blacks still commit 2.5x as much of the crimes, in spite of being only 12.5% of the population - compared with 60% for whites.
The fact that whites and blacks are mutually more likely to be killed by their respective ethnicities does not remedy the fact that if you are stuck in a room with a black person, that you are 2.5x more likely to be attacked by them than you are likely to do something to them. And that's just by the gross numbers - when we adjust for population, you are actually 60% / 12.5% x 2.5 (or 12x) more likely to be assaulted by them.
This post was edited by LoverManGenius on Jul 22 2021 03:54pm