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May 3 2022 11:45am
Quote (fender @ May 3 2022 12:27pm)
all polling before he was actively sabotaged by the dems establishment indicated that bernie would beat trump MORE comprehensively in a general election than biden would - and it makes a lot of sense too: not only would he have the support of the dems, as he's running under their banner, he also would have mobilised lots of young people to vote. on many key issues (health care, worker rights, foreign policy, money in politics...) he's is an ACTUAL alternative to the same old in both parties, and he has the receipts to prove it, not a blemished political record full of contradictions and corporate bidding like biden.

regarding the second point, bernie was the only one who even laid out a plan how to reform campaign financing, and has a believable interest in doing it, which is the only way to even have a shot at pushing through legislation that serves the people and not corporations. aiming high and getting at least some things (student loan forgiveness, minimum wage...) done is better than aiming low under the guise of "bipartisanship" and still getting shafted and maligned by republicans who would never even think about compromising once back in power.

so nah, simply doesn't make sense to me...


you're welcome to accept polls stating bernie was more favorable than biden against trump, i disagreed with them and voted with my gut is all. worked out fine, trump leaving office was more important to me than who came in after personally. not that who is potus is unimportant.

he could have written a 500 page book on how to pass his policies and bernie still would have gotten cucked by congress. congress will never police congress. the scotus is the only slim hope we have. student loan forgiveness im not 100% settled on personally. and min wage was a moot point come voting day, even mcdonalds was offering 14$/hour due to the pandemic.

how my personal beliefs and pragmatic voting record dont always line up have confused many people. so im used to it. i also am as prone to vote from my gut as i am to research things obsessively. o well.
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May 3 2022 11:46am
Quote (Santara @ May 3 2022 10:43am)
If he becomes the 6th, he can write the opinion as narrowly as possible, to eviscerate Roe v Wade as little as possible.

I think this was a liberal leak so that clinics and legislatures can prepare for the loss.


I think everyone already expected the court to overturn roe or narrow roe in some fashion. If its the liberals, why not leak this when it was written in Feb? Nows roughly the time the justices start dissenting/concurring try to horse trade for votes/wording changes.
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May 3 2022 11:49am
Quote (Sioux @ May 3 2022 12:46pm)
I think everyone already expected the court to overturn roe or narrow roe in some fashion. If its the liberals, why not leak this when it was written in Feb? Nows roughly the time the justices start dissenting/concurring try to horse trade for votes/wording changes.


Right, and when it becomes apparent now that no one is horse trading their vote, it's time to upend the apple cart.
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May 3 2022 11:53am
Quote (thesnipa @ 3 May 2022 19:45)
you're welcome to accept polls stating bernie was more favorable than biden against trump, i disagreed with them and voted with my gut is all. worked out fine, trump leaving office was more important to me than who came in after personally. not that who is potus is unimportant.

he could have written a 500 page book on how to pass his policies and bernie still would have gotten cucked by congress. congress will never police congress. the scotus is the only slim hope we have. student loan forgiveness im not 100% settled on personally. and min wage was a moot point come voting day, even mcdonalds was offering 14$/hour due to the pandemic.

how my personal beliefs and pragmatic voting record dont always line up have confused many people. so im used to it. i also am as prone to vote from my gut as i am to research things obsessively. o well.


i'm not opposed to pragmatic voting. my point, however, is that it simply wasn't - as polling and a look at turnout demographics suggests. let me try to avoid misunderstandings by outright stating i'm not saying you're lying about your motivations to dismiss bernie and support the establishment, i'm just saying it does not to appear to be founded on facts to me.
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May 3 2022 11:53am
Quote (Santara @ May 3 2022 10:49am)
Right, and when it becomes apparent now that no one is horse trading their vote, it's time to upend the apple cart.


Or if you're Alito and you think you're about to lose one of your votes to overturn Roe to Robert's compromise, you leak your draft to try to lock him and the text of your opinion in.
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May 3 2022 11:59am
Quote (fender @ May 3 2022 12:53pm)
i'm not opposed to pragmatic voting. my point, however, is that it simply wasn't - as polling and a look at turnout demographics suggests. let me try to avoid misunderstandings by outright stating i'm not saying you're lying about your motivations to dismiss bernie and support the establishment, i'm just saying it does not to appear to be founded on facts to me.


its not. the polls, if we're to take those as our only set of facts, pointed towards bernie as the best shot to beat trump.

my gut told me that was wrong, my gut told me that biden had the only chance to beat trump, my gut told me that bernie's platform wasnt going to work in congress and he'd be staring down a complete loss of any mandate he had in both houses come midterms after 2 years of "COMMIE" being screamed at him by fox news. and my gut told me biden would get called senile and they'd screech about Hunter's laptop, but that his connections and centrist leanings might get a few things done.

and my memory told me that in 2016 the polls were way off. Fool me once, shame on... shame on you. Fool me—you can't get fooled again.
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May 3 2022 12:07pm
I'd say penis_hat's predictions for 2020 were more on point than mine. I was saying I didn't concern myself too much with who won, because it should be the lowest stakes in an election- Trump already having done most of his policy initiatives, Biden being a status quo moderate, unlikely to get many court picks, pandemic recovery supposed to be in full swing with vaccines already developed. It seemed like it wouldn't matter much, unlike the 2016 choice between Hillary and Trump. And now here we are with a dozen national crises at the same time and on the precipice of world war 3.
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May 3 2022 12:09pm
Quote (Santara @ May 3 2022 10:49am)
Right, and when it becomes apparent now that no one is horse trading their vote, it's time to upend the apple cart.


I just find it a little strange that in 2022 yet another fixture of american democracy is losing credibily while the alt-right is dancing about saying "we've won we've won!"
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May 3 2022 12:15pm
Quote (Goomshill @ May 3 2022 01:07pm)
I'd say penis_hat's predictions for 2020 were more on point than mine. I was saying I didn't concern myself too much with who won, because it should be the lowest stakes in an election- Trump already having done most of his policy initiatives, Biden being a status quo moderate, unlikely to get many court picks, pandemic recovery supposed to be in full swing with vaccines already developed. It seemed like it wouldn't matter much, unlike the 2016 choice between Hillary and Trump. And now here we are with a dozen national crises at the same time and on the precipice of world war 3.


Almost like Trump left the country in the shitter when he left.

No no, that can't be it. Every problem in our country had to have spawned spontaneously in the last year.
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May 3 2022 12:25pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 3 May 2022 19:59)
its not. the polls, if we're to take those as our only set of facts, pointed towards bernie as the best shot to beat trump.

my gut told me that was wrong, my gut told me that biden had the only chance to beat trump, my gut told me that bernie's platform wasnt going to work in congress and he'd be staring down a complete loss of any mandate he had in both houses come midterms after 2 years of "COMMIE" being screamed at him by fox news. and my gut told me biden would get called senile and they'd screech about Hunter's laptop, but that his connections and centrist leanings might get a few things done.

and my memory told me that in 2016 the polls were way off. Fool me once, shame on... shame on you. Fool me—you can't get fooled again.


we both know better than to simplistically dismiss political polling, whenever it fits our chosen narrative, just because of "2016". we know the difference between early, late, and exit polls. we know the difference between popular vote and the EC. we know about margins of error and the partisan skew of different pollsters. we know the difference between dishonestly juxtaposed headlines and actual poll results. so let's just drop that silly talking point, neither of us is goon-shill. polls aren't perfect, but a reasonably big body of reasonably reliable polls is still a reasonably valid tool trying to evaluate public opinion on a given topic.

you having a different gut feeling and political opinions is a good enough and obviously perfectly valid reason. it's just that given the polls and areas of agreement regarding progressive policies as well as criticisms of the system, your actions don't make sense to ME personally. but again, if you're happy with it, if it makes sense to you, that's obviously fair enough. all i'm saying that each year the system is unchallenged by politicians who are the architects, products, or profiteers of it, it entrenches these mechanisms and the political class protecting it. it will be more difficult to change it next general election, and even more so in the following one, and "pragmatists" - no matter how they really feel about it - are helping to make it impossible to change. is that fair to say?

This post was edited by fender on May 3 2022 12:28pm
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