1 is the most likely. 3 is the second most likely.

2 is pie in the sky... Kavanaugh was nominated in early July. It takes months for a SCOTUS Justice to go through the nomination process.

If the GOP wants a SCOTUS Justice confirmed before the midterms, it's Kavanaugh or bust. And my guess is they get him through.

i mean the GOP are essentially only holding off the vote for optics around the midterms.

and each day the midterms are looking more and more blue.

so if the GOP fears they'll lose the midterms regardless, they may as well vote through a scotus pick, since the last 2 years of Trump's whitehouse will be sunk in terms of policy. I honestly think we're approaching terminal velocity in terms of the optics effects with regards to democratic enthusiasm. there's a blue wave, but no matter how high it gets we won't see the district results change all that much, so might as well get a USSC pick in now.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Sep 24 2018 10:06am

#1. IMO

I don't see this nomination not going through. If it does somehow get blocked then you'll get #3.

They won't have enough time to push Barrett through if BK goes down in flames.

https://slate.com/human-interest/2018/07/amy-coney-barretts-alleged-religious-group-people-of-praise-what-is-it.html

the cult she belongs to calls abortion (which is really a women's ability to choose what's best for her) is a "morally wrong act".

any reply? are you 'pro-life'? i'm still really curious.

I'm curious as well, my take is he doesn't have a strong opinion one way or another. He's in the camp that thinks Roe vs. Wade isn't in jeopardy.

I am, and always have been, a 100% pro choice person. I am raised catholic, still religious, and a libertarian.

As far as i know i'm the only religious libertarian who's pro choice, but I could be wrong. I've carefully considered altering my stance, for religous reasons and when i began politically shifting to libertarian just at the end of high school, but never really have. The only caveats would be that I don't support abortions in the 3rd trimester unless it's some crazy abuse or incest victim that is found out late term, I'm undecided on 2nd trimester but lean towards restricting it, and don't feel state funding should be drawn upon for abortions even in cases where the mother would lose her life. Although I support crowd funding efforts or private organizations that collect funding money for any cases of abortion they see fit to donate to.



i give it maybe a 1/10 chance that the USSC would take up the case. and if struck down I think we'd see maybe 2-5 states further remove abortion from their state, with maybe another handful restricting abortion laws, while another handful actually relaxes abortion laws in response.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Sep 24 2018 10:30am

There are a handful of states (MORE than two, i know that for a fact, closer to five i think, ) that will automatically ban abortion if Roe vs wade is overturned (I can find a link probably if you wish).

10% chance? lol. Solid 50%+ chance IMO. Not saying it'll be immediate but yeah..

2. 1. 3. in that order.

and how the fuck can you be pro-life and libertarian, those two to me are mutually exclusive...

someone please explain...