Quote (ThatAlex @ 4 Mar 2020 17:42)
Good point. I am glad about this, too.
On your second point, if I recall correctly, Warren supporters' second choice were pretty near evenly split among Biden and Sanders based on one poll I saw.
Additionally, I also think that despite being more politically similar to Sanders, Warren would likely endorse Biden over Sanders. I think she's better friends with Biden, would be pressured by the DNC to do so, and beefed with Sanders pretty publicly and notably.
Thus, I think Warren sticking around longer than she should doesn't hurt Sanders as much as many might think.
Not really, Warren and Biden have intense animosity, going back to one decade ago when Warren was a non-political expert trying to establish the CFPB and Biden was one of the leading voices in the Senate opposing or slowing down her efforts. (Not surprising considering the fact that he represents Delaware, which is a prominent tax haven.)
The tensions between Bernie and Warren have only emerged on the campaign trail, I dont think they go as deep as her mutual dislike with Biden. She is loyal to the party though, so perhaps she would endorse Biden in the end.
Quote (fender @ 4 Mar 2020 17:31)
i'm pretty sure it has proven the opposite. his numbers are staggeringly high for someone with his record and profile, for someone who only had two debates, got obliterated in one, and was on the ballot for only a fraction of the time.
imagine a less political time, where the stakes aren't that high, and you don't have the arguably worst president in history in office - imagine a time where there's not a major political rift in the democratic party. bloomberg could have easily bought himself the candidacy by spending a billion dollars.
not in 2020, and i've said that from the beginning, questioning what he's trying to accomplish with his campaign, but as a proof of concept i would say it was a pretty successful test run...
What's wrong with Bloomberg's record and profile? He won 3 mayoral elections in heavily liberal New York City after all. Back in the day, stop and frisk policies were popular, he's only so out of step with the present-day democratic party because the party has moved heavily to the left on a lot of issues over the last 10-16 years. Anyway, you have to keep in mind that he was only able to get his 10-16% vote share because he was running against an unusually fractured, and quite frankly
weak, field. And you also have to keep in mind that he was benefitting from having a lot states all to himself, states in which no one else seriously campaigned. Furthermore, his centrist stances allowed him to get a lot of votes from Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in states with an open primary.
At the end of the day, he was running against a vacuum and spent a fortune, and he still didnt get ANY real traction. Once Biden rebounded, Bloomberg immediately crumbled, as shown by the split between Bloomberg's performance in early ballots vs election day.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 4 2020 11:05am