Quote (Scaly @ Sep 11 2018 09:01am)
You mean only a decade to about 5 years before BLM?
Well fucking obviously. 'Never' is a strong word. Obviously cops are held accountable occasionally. But even a marked increase can be insignificant. 1% to 2% is a 200% increase... but it's still only 2%.
I'd like to see the actual numbers though.
that cops were "never" held accountable is a common narrative, illogical as it is. It wouldnt be noteworthy if it were so incredibly popular as a buzzphrase.
There are multiple studies on the ferguson effect with regards to officers being less likely to shoot, data collection on that is obviously a nightmare, so the data comes out to a lot of surveys and interviews backed by regional data from precincts that collect data above and beyond the state or national requirements (which admittedly aren't very good in terms of study).
You can look for studies on specifically the officers convicted, but you'll have to dig through a massive pile of bullshit from sources like Vox and Huffpost which always present the subject as something like "last year there were around 1000 fatal police shootings nationwide and only 80 prosecutions" without any data on which shootings were deemed justified by state/federal investigations.
Add on to that the issue of prosecutorial over-charging due to public pressure. We've seen it in Milwaukee, Baltimore, and New York in recent history. Perp dies and the public demands angrily that the prosecutor go for murder1 charges. the officer walks free because the defense has an easy time arguing the crime doesnt fit the definition. Officer is let go but free for what should have been a manslaughter charge. There are plenty of articles on the prosecution rates raising, but again they're always titled or framed "but convictions remain rare" without saying anything about over-charging.
The sad truth is many left minded CJ reform advocates are just as ignorant about the situation as right winged opponents of CJ reform. they dont understand the system, and dont know how to game it for their gain. the good news is public pressure leads to more prosecution, if not conviction, and prosecutions lead to firing more often than non-prosecutions. In terms of numbers for a study however using the 1000 or so fatal cases is silly, far too wide of a filter. The good news is that means u can study a smaller number more effectively, such as the 100 or so shootings that BLM targets and protests. Of which prosecutions have been numerous.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-police-idUSKCN0SK17L20151026decent articles, bit old-ish data but basically mirrors a lot of the points i raised.
Quote
“The important and telling statistic is the conviction rate,” he said.
heh, spoken like a true lawyer.
This post was edited by thesnipa on Sep 11 2018 09:26am