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Jul 19 2017 08:44pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 19 2017 09:26pm)
The kurds suck. Turkey might be an islamist dictatorship verging on theocracy that's farther gone than Iran and going further, but its still a hugely important player even without our base in Incirlik (and Izmir) and even with our nuclear weapons removed. Turkey is big and reasonably powerful, Kurds are a bunch of mountain people. Ceding Turkey to the Russian sphere of influence would be a huge strategic mistake, even if trying to keep them as our 'genuine ally' isn't remotely plausible at this point. The best we can hope for in the near term is keeping Turkey in NATO and not openly rebellious or defecting.


They suck less than everyone else in the region.

What exactly does the west lose by ceding Turkey to the Russian sphere?
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Jul 19 2017 08:58pm
Quote (Santara @ Jul 19 2017 08:44pm)
They suck less than everyone else in the region.

What exactly does the west lose by ceding Turkey to the Russian sphere?


A NATO power in the mideast switching teams. 80 million people and any hopes of secular muslim democracy, the 17th largest economy and our strategic foodhold nuclear base.
Its like trading Canada for Greenland

If we were going to start supporting irrelevant factions over our strategic allies just because they aligned better with us, then the House of Saud wouldn't be on first name basis with every president

This post was edited by Goomshill on Jul 19 2017 09:00pm
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Jul 19 2017 09:34pm
Wow jsp talking about anything
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Jul 19 2017 09:52pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 19 2017 09:58pm)
A NATO power in the mideast switching teams. 80 million people and any hopes of secular muslim democracy, the 17th largest economy and our strategic foodhold nuclear base.
Its like trading Canada for Greenland

If we were going to start supporting irrelevant factions over our strategic allies just because they aligned better with us, then the House of Saud wouldn't be on first name basis with every president


"Secular Muslim democracy" is already on the way out the door, but one that could actually be replaced with a much more lasting one. There's no reason to think we couldn't stage nuclear weapons aimed at Russia in Kurdistan instead of Turkey, though that really shouldn't matter considering our boomer submarine fleet is more than capable of providing a lasting nuclear foothold.

Canada is far more important, with a much smaller population than Turkey. Not terribly analogous.
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Jul 19 2017 11:34pm
Quote (Skinned @ 20 Jul 2017 02:55)
Letting them in was the only moral thing to do. Germany was already responsible for one Holocaust, if they failed to prevent another one....they wouldn't deserve to exist.

And they did something similar with the refugees from the Balkans....they came for awhile, until the genocidal causes of the war were arrested, and then they went home. The only difference is that the genocidal cause of the war remains so it might be a little harder to convince them to go back this time around.

But the people from the Balkans were a little...lighter complected than Syrians, so there was a lot less fuss about it....the sky didn't fall then...but circumstances are different, as the causes are still there and there are many more Arabs than people from the Balkans.



It is amazing considering Saddam Hussein didn't destroy his own cities or use chemical weapons on Iraqi children, like Assad. He used them on the Kurds though, and he was executed by Iraq for much less than Assad has done.

For real though, Saddam was a fucking saint compared to Assad.



How can you say this and support Assad again? Just cognitive dissonance?




wow. pretty much every single thing you said in the post is wrong.

Quote (Santara @ 20 Jul 2017 03:34)
The size of the Turkish army isn't relevant. Their ability, or lack thereof, to project that power isn't substantial, and several European NATO members have superior militaries. Turkey has the power to close down the Bosporus, but in the grand scheme of things, the ability to restrict the world's access to the Black Sea is trivial. The Russian navy based there isn't a true blue water navy in the first place, so the USN wouldn't have much difficulty in keeping them in check even without the threat of closing the strait.

On the other hand, creating a genuine ally in the Muslim world should be a matter of strategic importance to the west, as Kurds generally do not adhere to the doctrine of Istihsan and thus are not susceptible to the issuance of fatwas by irrational zealots. On the other hand, Turkey is rapidly falling into a militant religious state, as evidenced by the power grabbing by Erdogan.


I agree that the kurds would probably be our best allies in the middle east. but I also agree with goomshill that the geostrategic importance of turkey still outweighs those considerations. but if the NATO doesnt find a way to reign in erdogan and his transformation of turkey into an islamo-fascist dictatorship, turkey might very well become a net liability that isnt worth the effort anymore.

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Jul 20 2017 01:31am


Quote (Skinned @ 20 Jul 2017 02:55)
Letting them in was the only moral thing to do. Germany was already responsible for one Holocaust, if they failed to prevent another one....they wouldn't deserve to exist.

And they did something similar with the refugees from the Balkans....they came for awhile, until the genocidal causes of the war were arrested, and then they went home. The only difference is that the genocidal cause of the war remains so it might be a little harder to convince them to go back this time around.

But the people from the Balkans were a little...lighter complected than Syrians, so there was a lot less fuss about it....the sky didn't fall then...but circumstances are different, as the causes are still there and there are many more Arabs than people from the Balkans.


you cant possibly be serious with this post :lol:
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Jul 20 2017 03:33am
Turkey is a large country and is more or less the doorstep to Europe for those in the Middle East.
In most of the 20th century it has been the battleground between the secular, the Christians and the Muslim beliefs.
It also happens to be a place that Russia would love to get hold of, due to it's favorable location on the Mediterranean.


A quick look at the map will readily explain why Turkey has become a modern day battleground between various belief systems. As well as it's geographical location for other more mundane things like troop movements for the various surrounding factions.









This post was edited by Ghot on Jul 20 2017 03:52am
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Jul 20 2017 05:20am
Quote (ampoo @ Jul 20 2017 02:31am)
you cant possibly be serious with this post :lol:


Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jul 20 2017 12:34am)
wow. pretty much every single thing you said in the post is wrong.



I agree that the kurds would probably be our best allies in the middle east. but I also agree with goomshill that the geostrategic importance of turkey still outweighs those considerations. but if the NATO doesnt find a way to reign in erdogan and his transformation of turkey into an islamo-fascist dictatorship, turkey might very well become a net liability that isnt worth the effort anymore.


You guys have your heads up your asses.

There wasn't even a popular movement in Iraq to topple Saddam. Assad started his civil war when he attacked peaceful demonstrators with tanks and soldiers. This is the bottom line.

You guys have ideological blinders on....everything I said was just stuff that happened And value statements attached, which I don't try to pass as fact. At least say why you believe I'm wrong outside of the generic conservative "my feels".

Why is you believe that Syrians should have been forced to stay in cities their government were attacking? Would you have stayed where you were if the Federal govt starting indiscriminately killing and bombing schools and hospitals. We get it, you guys believe their lives do not matter because they're less than human to you people. But they did what you would do, and luckily most of the people they have ran into are better quality than the people who want to protect their magical white blood.

I just tell myself most of the posters have never been to an actual war done and are speaking out of ignorance.

The reason they left is still there. They will likely be marching home to concentration camps and more slaughter. I wouldn't leave Europe if I was them. Bad news for Europe.

This post was edited by Skinned on Jul 20 2017 05:29am
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Jul 20 2017 05:22am
Quote (Ghot @ 20 Jul 2017 11:33)
Turkey is a large country and is more or less the doorstep to Europe for those in the Middle East.
In most of the 20th century it has been the battleground between the secular, the Christians and the Muslim beliefs.
It also happens to be a place that Russia would love to get hold of, due to it's favorable location on the Mediterranean.


A quick look at the map will readily explain why Turkey has become a modern day battleground between various belief systems. As well as it's geographical location for other more mundane things like troop movements for the various surrounding factions.







http://i.imgur.com/oSsUxYq.jpg

turkey has in its entire history never been a battleground on which christians or christian beliefs were a major player. it has always been a battle between moderates and secularism on the one side and extremists and islamism on the other side. with the developments of recent times, it's crystal clear which side has won in the end.

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Jul 20 2017 05:23am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jul 20 2017 06:22am)
turkey has in its entire history never been a battleground on which christians or christian beliefs were a major player. it has always been a battle between moderates and secularism on the one side and extremists and islamism on the other side. with the developments of recent times, it's crystal clear which side has won in the end.


The history of Turkey isn't over. Lol.

Syria maybe....not Turkey.
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