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Mar 7 2016 09:53am
Quote (Santara @ Mar 7 2016 10:10am)
Harvard study, based on CCES data. Ad hom less.


http://www.rit.edu/cla/philosophy/quine/underdetermination.html
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Mar 7 2016 10:03am
Quote (Thor123422 @ Mar 7 2016 09:29am)
It's not ad hominem. There isn't enough time in the world to sift through all the crap out there, so when you come across serious indicators of poor quality it's more efficient to just move on. A broken clock may be right twice a day, but you probably shouldn't waste time finding out when those two seconds are and just buy a new clock.


Quote (Skinned @ Mar 7 2016 09:53am)


Is this how you're going to run away from the data? kthxbai
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Mar 7 2016 10:09am
Quote (Santara @ Mar 7 2016 10:03am)
Is this how you're going to run away from the data? kthxbai


Why are you bothering to pretend you read and comprehended the data? Reading an abstract =/= comprehending the methodology and significance of the conclusions.
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Mar 7 2016 10:34am
Quote (Thor123422 @ Mar 7 2016 10:09am)
Why are you bothering to pretend you read and comprehended the data? Reading an abstract =/= comprehending the methodology and significance of the conclusions.


Why are you pretending it's necessary when the abstract has it in black and white?
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Mar 7 2016 10:48am
Quote (Santara @ Mar 7 2016 10:34am)
Why are you pretending it's necessary when the abstract has it in black and white?


Okay, I guess I need to explain this then.

Claims that are published in a reputable journal are not necessarily fact. They have an incentive to make their conclusions sound more significant than they actually are. They can't make wild end-all-be-all claims because it wouldn't get published, but every paper goes out of its way to hype its own conclusions where it can. Even Nature, arguably the best science journal in the world, has retractions when others cannot replicate their data, or when reviewers make mistakes.

Also, one data point doesn't mean ANYTHING without also understanding the body of knowledge that the data is based on, and the evolving field it is being published into. Unless you understand both the data collection, analysis, and the rest of the field you are not qualified to make a meaningful statement on the significance of the conclusions.
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Mar 7 2016 11:15am
While the extent of the illegal voting still has a degree of uncertainty to it, skinned's claim that illegals aren't voting is unmistakably wrong.
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Mar 7 2016 11:32am
Quote (Thor123422 @ Mar 7 2016 10:48am)
Okay, I guess I need to explain this then.

Claims that are published in a reputable journal are not necessarily fact. They have an incentive to make their conclusions sound more significant than they actually are. They can't make wild end-all-be-all claims because it wouldn't get published, but every paper goes out of its way to hype its own conclusions where it can. Even Nature, arguably the best science journal in the world, has retractions when others cannot replicate their data, or when reviewers make mistakes.

Also, one data point doesn't mean ANYTHING without also understanding the body of knowledge that the data is based on, and the evolving field it is being published into. Unless you understand both the data collection, analysis, and the rest of the field you are not qualified to make a meaningful statement on the significance of the conclusions.


The authors set out to prove the non-existence of illegals voting.
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Mar 7 2016 11:42am
Quote (Santara @ Mar 7 2016 11:32am)
The authors set out to prove the non-existence of illegals voting.


Cool story bro, it's still one data point, and neither you nor I know how they did the experiment, data analysis, or anything but the abstract.
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Mar 7 2016 11:59am
Quote (Thor123422 @ Mar 7 2016 11:42am)
Cool story bro, it's still one data point, and neither you nor I know how they did the experiment, data analysis, or anything but the abstract.


Still more data than you have.
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Mar 7 2016 12:08pm
Quote (Santara @ Mar 7 2016 12:59pm)
Still more data than you have.


You'd think the integrity of the system would mean something to them. It's principal, I dont care if if its 0.0002% or the more realistic numbers you posted of 2-6%. (more than the margin of victory in some political races)
They keep throwing out hypothetical fringe examples, which while important are outliers. Instead of blocking verification, they should just support a tax refund or some kind of credit (or even free) for the ID.



Quote (Master_Zappy @ Mar 2 2016 10:12am)
a right for citizens only, and even then in some states citizens who are not felons. When ~one in 10 people ish are not citizens in our land, it makes sense to ask for an id or licence to show you're eligible as a citizen. I have a right to a firearm, I still have to show an ID and register among other stipulations.


This post was edited by Master_Zappy on Mar 7 2016 12:10pm
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