Quote (zorzin @ Nov 26 2024 03:36pm)
Ya, thats the beauty of a decentralized insurgency. Theres a chance that Naim Qassem (new homeboy) will be more radical than Nasrallah, but who knows. Its kinda like the same thing with hamas; their numbers have actually grown since oct7th and i can guarantee they are far more dangerous than their predecessors.
I dont personally believe that israel has secured its strategic objectives in southern lebanon, so this deal kinda seems like an israeli L, but they did severely fuck up hezbollahs depots/logistics, while maintaining a superior K/D ratio, so i might just be biased on this one.
That does make sense, however, I would say that charismatic leaders are exceedingly rare. While a new leader will always fill the vacuum, as those leaders are systemically liquidated the quality of those leaders naturally declines upon every succession. Choice 1 is killed, choice 2 takes his place, then choice 3, etc. Eventually you get to the point where the new leader isn't even literate, thus cannot communicate.
It looks to me that Israel got cold feet in Lebanon real quick. Sure, they're doing precision bombings in Beirut, but they are warning people in advance (which is self evidently retarded as their target will then move).
I will also reiterate, in logical agreeance with the present discussion, that Israel has only two options here: destroy their enemies in whole (which is genocide, dead men tell no tales and children can't grow up to hate Israel if they don't exist in the first place) or 2) meekly capitulate and allow themselves to be genocided. The third choice is to continue to kick the can down the road while their enemies become even more united and radicalized, eventually to the point where Israel is weaker.