Quote (ownyaah @ 21 Nov 2024 01:42)
1. There is no need to lie, US/israel/turkey/saudis arming of "FSA" is well documented, far beyond what is admitted.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-chief-acknowledges-long-claimed-weapons-supply-to-syrian-rebels/ 2. The influx of weapon deliveries to hez through syria increased IMMENSLY after 2012. Why? Because decline of sovereignity and weakening of syria, delegating syria to iranian/hez was a mistake. This is the same mistake europe/US is making with russia, pushing them into a cino-russian alliance.
3. You can speculate on that, and it could be correct, my speculation is instead of pulling syria away from iran they pushed them together, opportunism can have unexpected political blowback.
4. The enrichment process is already there 60%, and Iran has hypersonic missiles that are capable of carrying nuclear war heads with pinpoint accuracy at 1400km. We are talking about a calculated strategic decision, rather than a lack of capability that can be finished whenever they want.
But good news is, iran having nukes has nothing to do with Israel. It is only serves as deterrence against US.
anyhow i said it again, cats out of the bag, these views might become relevant in next decades. Power politics need to play out first.
The link you provided confirms limited arms and support to select Syrian rebel groups for defensive purposes near Israel’s borders. It’s a far cry from a comprehensive or broad-scale strategy to arm all opposition forces like Al-Nusra.
Israel’s primary aim was containing threats and securing the Golan border—not creating a proxy war in Syria. Unlike Turkey, Saudi Arabia, or the U.S., Israel’s involvement was measured and narrowly focused.
You’re correct that Syria’s collapse facilitated Iranian influence, but your argument oversimplifies Israel’s options. Israel has consistently acted to disrupt arms transfers, conducting hundreds of strikes to prevent advanced weapons from reaching Hezbollah. The weakening of Assad’s sovereignty wasn’t caused by Israel but by Syria’s civil war and Assad’s reliance on Iran and Russia for survival. Blaming Israel for Hezbollah’s gain ignores the broader context of regional instability.
The idea of pulling Syria away from Iran overlooks the reality of Assad’s regime. Syria’s relationship with Iran has been deeply rooted since the 1980s, long before the war. Assad was unlikely to sever ties with his strongest ally in exchange for uncertain deals with Israel or the West. While it’s true that pushing countries into alliances can backfire, the Syria-Iran-Hezbollah axis predated the war.
Assad aligned with Iran not because of missed opportunities with Israel but because of shared strategic goals.Yes, Iran has enriched uranium to 60%, but reaching weapons-grade (90%) and building functional nuclear warheads involves significant technical hurdles, including weaponization and miniaturization. Even if Iran can develop such capabilities, their use is deterred by Israel’s own military superiority and second-strike capabilities. The hypersonic missiles you mention are unverified and, even if real, still face operational challenges.
Iran’s nuclear ambitions go beyond deterring the U.S.; its rhetoric and support for anti-Israel proxies make it a direct concern for Israel. Pretending Iran’s nukes would have “nothing to do with Israel” ignores its history of using proxy groups like Hezbollah to advance its anti-Israel agenda.
Blaming Israel for regional dynamics oversimplifies a highly complex geopolitical landscape. The rise of Iranian influence in Syria or the development of nuclear weapons involves multiple actors, and Israel’s policies aim to mitigate—not exacerbate—these threats.
This post was edited by Many_Names on Nov 20 2024 05:53pm