Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 26 2022 08:43pm)
Its not my job to plan out the logistics of a withdrawal. If it was, I'd have a plan to track down Americans, I'd figure out the amount of flights necessary, stage it before the timetables. After the Taliban takeover, what we saw from the administration was a total lack of a plan, complete silence. We rushed people haphazardly into emergency flights while chaos unfolded at the one airport left open. In the end, that chaos was so unwarranted given the lack of aggression from the Taliban that we would have been better off if the military hadn't tried to evacuate people at the last minute at all, and just let the Taliban control the airports and let people filter out at their own leisure. Then at least we wouldn't have troops firing warning shots at mobs, bombs massacring panicked mobs and people literally falling out of planes. In the end, thousands of Americans and tens of thousands of Afghans we wanted to evacuate were left behind anyway.
What 'plan' we had was hinged both on the belief the Taliban wouldn't be able to rapidly take over the country, and that the Taliban were hostile and any Americans left behind would be in danger. Both mistaken beliefs that led to unnecessary chaos and death. And its easy to nitpick by giving specifics about what we could have planned in advance with a better understanding of those two points, like keeping Bagram open and using it to evacuate people, worrying less about airfield security and more about chartering additional flights, rounding up Americans much earlier, etc etc. That's with the benefit of hindsight and I don't think its fair. What I do think is a fair criticism is to point out how Biden responded once our plans fell apart and the situation on the ground changed.
That's the big point. What we could have planned differently with different knowledge, versus how Biden reacted once he knew the situation had changed and the plan fell apart. A good leader, a good commander-in-chief, would immediately start managing the crisis and taking responsibility and directing the military. We look to presidents to guide us in times of emergencies, that's why the founding fathers created the executive branch in the first place, to have decisive leadership for matters that a deliberative body are ill suited to handle. And Biden was asleep. Figuratively, literally. The white house let the disaster unfold without any comment, Biden didn't lift a finger, Jen Psaki turned off her phone and refused to talk to reporters. Afghanistan fell and the Biden administration twiddled their thumbs. They abdicated any responsibility for managing just how big or small a disaster it would be, and got pretty lucky that relatively few people died given the scope.
Americans in the country were told by the State Department to get out. Maybe the administration should've focused more on that message, but ultimately thousands of Americans chose to ignore the instruction. Trying to locate and extract thousands of Americans from all around Afghanistan sounds like a nightmare. And I doubt the government has any authority to force Americans to leave.
You go on to say Biden would've been better off not evacuating Americans in the final days of the war. So one of your criticisms(leaving thousands of Americans behind) is followed by a recommendation for Biden to have left even more Americans behind.
@bold: That's why I'm trying to get into specifics, because Biden choosing to do things differently have consequences of their own. Once the Afghan government/military collapses and the Taliban is outside Kabul, how do you evacuate Americans in a superior way to what they did? How do you manage to pull out as many Afghans as possible? You suggest in your reply we shouldn't have even tried. That would be equivalent to Biden lighting himself on fire politically, and it would go down in history as one of the most embarrassing moments internationally for the United States. Again, the alternative path the critics propose often sounds worse than what actually happened.
Quote (bogie160 @ Mar 26 2022 09:24pm)
And it was hopeless to expect that. The primary criticism is that the administration was operating, and making critical decisions, under the assumption that the US-backed Afghan government would continue to exist. Either there was a catastrophic intelligence failure, or the administration was historically incompetent. The Biden administration was promising an enduring, multi-year commitment to Afghani democracy as Taliban fighters rode up to the gates of Kabul.
There's a pretty big difference between collapsing in under a week, and collapsing in a few months. Had they held up a few months, it would've allowed more Americans and Afghans to leave.
My recollection from the reporting at the time is that the intelligence agencies did not expect the Afghans to fold so quickly. That's an intelligence failure. It's not a major mistake by Biden himself, which is what I'm still searching for, and have yet to hear a convincing argument.