Quote (IceMage @ 13 Jan 2021 14:27)
The rabid cynicism is back.
This was a principled and courageous move. There's zero political incentives to pissing off Trump's base. Getting praise from actual conservatives in the media is worth exactly nothing in the realm of politics. The figures who matter in the media are all Trumpy and they will never divorce themselves from him.
We had 139 House Republicans object to the election results. Those people are never going to want Cheney as their leader in the House. And primary voters aren't going to pick what they believe to be a turncoat if she runs for president.
As far as McConnell, there's been some reporting he might support convicting. I'm highly skeptical. But what do you expect? Why would he want a disgraced clown like Trump to continue to be the leader of the party?
Also worth pointing out... the "Trumpy" Republican leadership are basically mainstream Republicans... they just kiss Trump's ass sufficiently. Trumpism is about the performative assholery, not policy.
Trump essentially staged a hostile takeover of the GOP in 2016. Of course the main figures from the "establishment wing" of the party will try to seize the opportunity to roll this development back as much as they can, now that Trump is powerless, silenced, disgraced and with cratering approval ratings. Especially after the Georgia debacle, most of the GOP figures who were opposed to trumpism on ideological grounds anyway will have concluded that trumpism is a net negative for their party and that they want to get rid of it. The next day's riots/insurrection only exacerbated this assessment.
And the timing is good, we just had the general election, the next cycle is almost 2 years away. If you have to risk drawing the ire of Trump's base for some higher objective (keeping the party palatable to moderates and independents, rolling back the ideology toward fiscon and neocon), now is the moment to do it. So yes, right now, all the political incentives for mainstream Republicans (who never were true believers) are there to divorce themselves from Trump and, if possible, also from trumpism.
I agree with you, however, when it comes to Cheney and the House Republicans not wanting her as their leader. McConnell is hard to read for me right now. I mean, he's clearly beyond done with Trump, but I dont know how he will handle the impeachment vote from a strategical point of view. I think his main concern right now is getting over with impeachment without fracturing his caucus or party. If all GOP senators but Romney vote against removal, he'd probably be fine with it, and he'd probably be just as fine with 45 of his 50 Senators voting in favor of removal. What he wants to avoid, imho, is a situation where 15 of his 50 senators vote for removal, so that the impeachment falls short.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jan 13 2021 07:45am