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#1281
Oct 12 2016 10:44am
Quote (ThatAlex @ 12 Oct 2016 08:43)
I posted RCP screenshots of Hillary Clinton schlonging Trump in like all 10 swing states after the conventions. I post changes and developments in the race.

Trump had a fantastic two week period that resulted in only a 1.5 deficit behind HRC in the RCP average and also culiminated in Trump being ahead of HRC in one of FiveThirtyEight's models for the first time since his post-convention bump.

Hillary is destroying Trump now, this election is practically over. I don't think there will be any more interesting developments in the race, barring Trump dropping out or something catastrophic happening with Clinton's campaign.


I know, it's just going to take a LONG time for me to stop giving you shit for posting a screenshot from a tiny little window on an unreliable tool that's ridiculous to use for any actual predictive purpose.
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#1282
Oct 12 2016 10:46am
Quote (ThatAlex @ Oct 12 2016 10:43am)
I posted RCP screenshots of Hillary Clinton schlonging Trump in like all 10 swing states after the conventions. I post changes and developments in the race.

Trump had a fantastic two week period that resulted in only a 1.5 deficit behind HRC in the RCP average and also culiminated in Trump being ahead of HRC in one of FiveThirtyEight's models for the first time since his post-convention bump.

Hillary is destroying Trump now, this election is practically over. I don't think there will be any more interesting developments in the race, barring Trump dropping out or something catastrophic happening with Clinton's campaign.


The thing is this election barely started in the first place. If it was anybody except Trump getting the numbers he had, even during his best weeks, it would have been obvious to most pepole that the race isn't competitive. But since it's trump he gets graded on a curve and his odds of winning were inflated from the start.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Oct 12 2016 10:49am
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#1283
Oct 12 2016 10:47am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Oct 12 2016 04:44pm)
I know, it's just going to take a LONG time for me to stop giving you shit for posting a screenshot from a tiny little window on an unreliable tool that's ridiculous to use for any actual predictive purpose.


Cheezus christ, I just noticed your post count. 105 thousand. Do you even live life, bro?
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#1284
Oct 12 2016 10:48am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ 12 Oct 2016 11:44)
I know, it's just going to take a LONG time for me to stop giving you shit for posting a screenshot from a tiny little window on an unreliable tool that's ridiculous to use for any actual predictive purpose.


I wasn't using it as a tool to show a prediction of the race if it happened now, as it is intended to do. I was using it to show that Trump had a strong two week run in the polls that reflected favorably in their models. He was also in the 40's in the polls-only and polls-plus models.

The NowCast is clearly the weakest of the 3 models, I was just using the FiveThirtyEight models as a general barometer of how the race tightened in that two week period. Clinton has always been the favorite this election.
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#1285
Oct 12 2016 10:42pm
The NowCast moved to 9.1% for Trump, just wanted to keep you updated in case you weren't checking.
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#1286
Oct 13 2016 09:25am
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#1287
Oct 13 2016 09:36am
Quote (TradeBot @ Oct 13 2016 11:25am)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSoG-QTF3Ks


>fox news

lel no

Also vouch Alex, Trump at one point nearly got to 50-50 with Clinton for real whether you want to accept that or not.

This post was edited by Voyaging on Oct 13 2016 09:38am
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#1288
Oct 13 2016 09:36am
Another dumb video without any big boy words attached, oh boy yay.
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#1289
Oct 13 2016 09:37am
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#1290
Oct 13 2016 09:38am
And another?! Must be our lucky day. Except the opposite.

For fuck's sake, pretend you're a grown-ass man and use your words.
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