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Jun 18 2017 05:41pm
Quote (IceMage @ Jun 18 2017 05:39pm)
He retweeted that less than 2 hours ago... lol.


Did #resist take down their botposts?
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Jun 18 2017 06:01pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jun 18 2017 03:35pm)
Theres a LOT of left-wing fake news on reddit lately making its rounds
I mean there was a lot of spin before, but its gone full blown fake news and its filtering out from the point of distribution


election deniers
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Jun 18 2017 06:06pm
Quote (IceMage @ Jun 18 2017 07:39pm)
He retweeted that less than 2 hours ago... lol.


The time tag says 11am...
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Jun 18 2017 06:16pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jun 18 2017 06:06pm)
The time tag says 11am...


Retweets list the time of the original tweet rather than when it was retweeted by that user.
But meanwhile the fake news is still making its rounds on social media, sandwiched between "Trump didn't tweet about the sailors" (he did) and "Trump didn't visit Scalice in the hospital" (he did, and Jim Acosta really did a sorry-not-sorry)
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Jun 18 2017 07:01pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 19 Jun 2017 01:12)
We hold elections for house, senate & lower races
The democrats defend 23 senate seats, the republicans defend 8. The democrats defend in states that went to Trump by double digits, the Republicans only have ~3 races in contention. Most likely outcome republicans get +1-2 seats. Small likelihood of republicans taking a supermajority (needs +8). The house meanwhile puts all its members up for reelection. Most likely outcome is republicans lose ~6 more seats and continue to hold it. Small likelihood of democrats retaking the house (needs +24)

Hence by best estimates the most likely scenario is that Trump's 2018-2020 will have the same congressional powers as the current 2016-2018


im not so sure on republicans holding the house. estimates are that the democrats need to outperform republicans nationally by around 8% to retake it (gerrymandering, hooray!), and that trump's approval ratings hovering around 40% would indicate a republican national loss by 10. so factor in the turnout rate which at midterms favors the GOP and you got a very tight race. at the moment, I'd guesstimate the odds of dems retaking the house in 2018 at roughly 50:50. if trump/the GOP somewhat get their shit together until the midterms, they should hold the house; if they fuck up some more, it will probably slip out of their control.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jun 18 2017 07:01pm
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Jun 18 2017 07:16pm
oh look 2-3 pages of lefty liberal democratic socialist (aka shoot the opposition of you cant beat them in an election) loving losers making election predictions. if their track record is anything to run by, bet on the complete opposite of what they say.

This post was edited by excellence on Jun 18 2017 07:17pm
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Jun 18 2017 07:18pm



Quote (majorblood @ 18 Jun 2017 20:01)
election deniers

another great post my friend

This post was edited by excellence on Jun 18 2017 07:18pm
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Jun 18 2017 07:23pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jun 18 2017 07:01pm)
im not so sure on republicans holding the house. estimates are that the democrats need to outperform republicans nationally by around 8% to retake it (gerrymandering, hooray!), and that trump's approval ratings hovering around 40% would indicate a republican national loss by 10. so factor in the turnout rate which at midterms favors the GOP and you got a very tight race. at the moment, I'd guesstimate the odds of dems retaking the house in 2018 at roughly 50:50. if trump/the GOP somewhat get their shit together until the midterms, they should hold the house; if they fuck up some more, it will probably slip out of their control.


Thats overly optimistic. The most savvy political analysts I saw said democrats weren't even considering the house flip to be a realistic prospect in 2018. They worried about Trump's low approval ratings dragging downstream republicans when cutting their losses in the 2016 election, and then he won and downstream republicans outperformed estimates (still losing 6 house seats, but retaining the national advantage handily). So Trump will have 2 years to watch Russiaburger flop and when people realize he's not going to sprout horns and a pointy tail and open fissures across the earth that spout fire and brimstone, Trump's got nowhere to go but up, and with that huge hurdle for retaking the house? Factor in the turnout on an off-year with jaded young democrats who berned out, factor in the seniors being the only demographic that reliably turns out for off-years, factor in the unprecedented number of split ticket voters who did Trump for president and democrats for other office- with 98% not regretting it, but being extremely alienated by a hostile left who call them nazis, and the odds that will flip them into full blown republican voters? The odds of a democrat house in 2018 is pretty small. I wouldn't say its impossible, I mean Trump did win somehow, but the most likely scenario by current estimates is the status quo being maintained, and that's a pretty safe bet. Its more likely that republicans take a supermajority in the senate than that democrats retake the house- the republicans are actually going to be fighting to take democrat seats in 8 battlegrounds that went to Trump by double digit margins, its just a clean sweep is unlikely.
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Jun 18 2017 07:23pm
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Jun 18 2017 07:29pm
Quote (MSX98 @ Jun 18 2017 07:23pm)




This kind of cultural appropriation disgusts me. How can a japanese video game company just take a rich cultural history and create such a cliched stereotypical adaptation of it?
Homer's Odyssey was a seminal work of epic poetry that defined classical culture and now Nintendo is turning it into some story where Mario is presumed dead and Bowser tries to marry Peach and he has to journey across varied realms to return to her
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