d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Off-Topic > General Chat > Political & Religious Debate > Official Political Picture Thread
Prev1127412751276127712785001Next
Closed New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 35,291
Joined: Aug 17 2004
Gold: 12,730.67
Jun 18 2017 04:22pm
Quote (IceMage @ Jun 18 2017 01:50pm)
Midterm elections. I'm assuming Democrats will take the house, which will basically prevent Trump from passing anything meaningful before getting his ass kicked in 2020.


I think it's a bit too early to make statements like this. I don't think Trump runs in 2020 either. He'll probably say some bullshit like, "I accomplished many many things. More than any other modern President. Like a businessman, I accomplished my agenda under budget and ahead of schedule. I am saving the American people trillions of dollars by not running again."
Member
Posts: 49,289
Joined: Jun 18 2006
Gold: 11.77
Jun 18 2017 04:23pm
Quote (thundercock @ Jun 18 2017 05:22pm)
I think it's a bit too early to make statements like this. I don't think Trump runs in 2020 either. He'll probably say some bullshit like, "I accomplished many many things. More than any other modern President. Like a businessman, I accomplished my agenda under budget and ahead of schedule. I am saving the American people trillions of dollars by not running again."


If Trump wins in 2020 I'll become an atheist.

I think his ego is too big to not run again.

This post was edited by IceMage on Jun 18 2017 04:24pm
Member
Posts: 35,291
Joined: Aug 17 2004
Gold: 12,730.67
Jun 18 2017 04:24pm
Quote (IceMage @ Jun 18 2017 02:23pm)
If Trump wins in 2020 I'll become an atheist.


If he won in 2016, there's no reason why he won't win in 2020. I just don't think he'd want to do it.
Member
Posts: 40,248
Joined: Feb 14 2007
Gold: 5,737.99
Jun 18 2017 05:05pm
Quote (thundercock @ Jun 18 2017 05:24pm)
If he won in 2016, there's no reason why he won't win in 2020. I just don't think he'd want to do it.



We'll have to wait & see what happens over the next 3.5 years
Member
Posts: 50,923
Joined: Jan 20 2010
Gold: 5,335.99
Jun 18 2017 05:12pm
Quote (Scaly @ Jun 18 2017 03:48pm)
What happens in 2018? British here.


We hold elections for house, senate & lower races
The democrats defend 23 senate seats, the republicans defend 8. The democrats defend in states that went to Trump by double digits, the Republicans only have ~3 races in contention. Most likely outcome republicans get +1-2 seats. Small likelihood of republicans taking a supermajority (needs +8). The house meanwhile puts all its members up for reelection. Most likely outcome is republicans lose ~6 more seats and continue to hold it. Small likelihood of democrats retaking the house (needs +24)

Hence by best estimates the most likely scenario is that Trump's 2018-2020 will have the same congressional powers as the current 2016-2018

This post was edited by Goomshill on Jun 18 2017 05:15pm
Member
Posts: 33,928
Joined: Oct 9 2008
Gold: 2,528.52
Jun 18 2017 05:16pm
Quote (IceMage @ Jun 18 2017 05:50pm)
Midterm elections. I'm assuming Democrats will take the house, which will basically prevent Trump from passing anything meaningful before getting his ass kicked in 2020.


Historically, Democrats tend to do worse in midterms because their voters aren't as emotionally engaged.

Election turnout is definitely more consistent during midterms in Red states.

http://www.electproject.org/home/voter-turnout/voter-turnout-data

What odds do you have on that changing this time around?
Member
Posts: 33,928
Joined: Oct 9 2008
Gold: 2,528.52
Jun 18 2017 05:30pm
Quote (Voyaging @ Jun 18 2017 04:59pm)


You are #FakeNews

Member
Posts: 50,923
Joined: Jan 20 2010
Gold: 5,335.99
Jun 18 2017 05:35pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jun 18 2017 05:30pm)
You are #FakeNews


Theres a LOT of left-wing fake news on reddit lately making its rounds
I mean there was a lot of spin before, but its gone full blown fake news and its filtering out from the point of distribution
Member
Posts: 33,928
Joined: Oct 9 2008
Gold: 2,528.52
Jun 18 2017 05:39pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jun 18 2017 07:35pm)
Theres a LOT of left-wing fake news on reddit lately making its rounds
I mean there was a lot of spin before, but its gone full blown fake news and its filtering out from the point of distribution


For real.

I can understand why, though. Reddit is 90% liberal.
Member
Posts: 49,289
Joined: Jun 18 2006
Gold: 11.77
Jun 18 2017 05:39pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jun 18 2017 06:30pm)


He retweeted that less than 2 hours ago... lol.
Go Back To Political & Religious Debate Topic List
Prev1127412751276127712785001Next
Closed New Topic New Poll