Quote (Scaly @ Jun 18 2017 03:48pm)
What happens in 2018? British here.
We hold elections for house, senate & lower races
The democrats defend 23 senate seats, the republicans defend 8. The democrats defend in states that went to Trump by double digits, the Republicans only have ~3 races in contention. Most likely outcome republicans get +1-2 seats. Small likelihood of republicans taking a supermajority (needs +8). The house meanwhile puts all its members up for reelection. Most likely outcome is republicans lose ~6 more seats and continue to hold it. Small likelihood of democrats retaking the house (needs +24)
Hence by best estimates the most likely scenario is that Trump's 2018-2020 will have the same congressional powers as the current 2016-2018
This post was edited by Goomshill on Jun 18 2017 05:15pm