Quote (zorzin @ 26 Oct 2024 20:10)

Breakdown of Operation Days of Repentance:
(As always none ofnthis is confirmed untill sat imagery)

100 f15/f35s launched a multitude of albms/cruise missles from iraqi airspace (afaik no israeli jets entered Iranian territory but its entirely possible that they did) the targets included but are not limited to:

Multiple MIM23 HAWK SAM sites
A Factory Complex within the Shamsabad Industrial City
Atleast one S-300PMU2 battery
Multiple s200 batteries
Multiple radar systems all across the xountry ( of varying types)
Drone factories
Missle factories
Targets in syria and iraq ( still murky on the details)
Some insurgents launched drones near tehran but most got shot down by ww2 era 35mm flak lol

Pros:
israel can launch missles from outside Iranian airspace with zero worry.
Perfectly measured response, where iran will seem like the aggressor if it retaliates.
Iranian aa/ad and drone/missle production got hit hard and israel would theoretically have an easier time if they wanted to do a double tap (unlikely)

Cons:
Took WAY too long to retaliate (didnt need 3ish weeks for this)
Iranians are claming this was a nothing burger as tehran was mostly unscathed
Gallant and others were hyping this up as the end of irans economy

So all in all i give it a 7.5/10

Quote (Many_Names @ Oct 26 2024 01:38pm)

We refer to Iraqi airspace to avoid embarrassing Jordan and Saudi Arabia. The extended duration of the operation served as part of the response. It benefits both sides to keep things discreet. They understand Israel’s reach, and Israelis are comfortable with that awareness.
Those who understand what was done recognize it as a final warning.

Quote (zorzin @ 26 Oct 2024 18:10)

Breakdown of Operation Days of Repentance:
(As always none ofnthis is confirmed untill sat imagery)

100 f15/f35s launched a multitude of albms/cruise missles from iraqi airspace (afaik no israeli jets entered Iranian territory but its entirely possible that they did) the targets included but are not limited to:

Multiple MIM23 HAWK SAM sites
A Factory Complex within the Shamsabad Industrial City
Atleast one S-300PMU2 battery
Multiple s200 batteries
Multiple radar systems all across the xountry ( of varying types)
Drone factories
Missle factories
Targets in syria and iraq ( still murky on the details)
Some insurgents launched drones near tehran but most got shot down by ww2 era 35mm flak lol

Pros:
israel can launch missles from outside Iranian airspace with zero worry.
Perfectly measured response, where iran will seem like the aggressor if it retaliates.
Iranian aa/ad and drone/missle production got hit hard and israel would theoretically have an easier time if they wanted to do a double tap (unlikely)

Cons:
Took WAY too long to retaliate (didnt need 3ish weeks for this)
Iranians are claming this was a nothing burger as tehran was mostly unscathed
Gallant and others were hyping this up as the end of irans economy

So all in all i give it a 7.5/10

Quote (Goomshill @ 27 Oct 2024 18:37)

Its definitely popping off in Israel and Lebanon and Iran like Intifada times again

40 wounded in a truck ramming attack at Glilot by an Israeli-Arab, 4 more IDF killed in Lebanon on top of the recent 10, missile strikes by Iran may or may not have hit Israeli war planes earlier this month and Israeli strikes may or may not have hit iran's missile production, Khamenei is reportedly at death's door from natural illness

Quote (Black XistenZ @ Oct 27 2024 06:33am)

It would be really interesting to know how much pressure the Biden/Harris admin applied behind the scenes to rein Israel in. Reports were that they originally intended to launch a much bigger strike at not just clean-cut military targets in Iran, but also oil infrastructure and their nuclear program.

All in all, this imho provides a clear off-ramp for this conflict. Israel can pat itself on the back for a successful strike which diminished Iran's missile production and devastated their AA, leaving them exposed and thus also cutting off their avenue towards the bomb for the time being. (With how exposed Iran is after this strike, they must know that Israel could bomb their nuclear facilities with ease if they pushed toward nukes before fixing their AA.)

Iran, on the other hand, can point to Israel having stood clear of its airspace and no noteworthy damage to Teheran. Iran is in a position of tremendous weakness right now, so for the time being, they clearly have no interest in further escalation. The Israeli restraint allows them to save face and they'd be wise to seize this opportunity.

Imho, Israel will continue to clean up in Lebanon for a couple more weeks and then call it a day.

Quote (Hamsterbaby @ 27 Oct 2024 11:42)

Just like Putin was dying of cancer 2 years back.

Quote (Goomshill @ Oct 27 2024 12:37pm)

Its definitely popping off in Israel and Lebanon and Iran like Intifada times again

40 wounded in a truck ramming attack at Glilot by an Israeli-Arab, 4 more IDF killed in Lebanon on top of the recent 10, missile strikes by Iran may or may not have hit Israeli war planes earlier this month and Israeli strikes may or may not have hit iran's missile production, Khamenei is reportedly at death's door from natural illness

Quote (Goomshill @ Oct 27 2024 06:37am)

Its definitely popping off in Israel and Lebanon and Iran like Intifada times again

40 wounded in a truck ramming attack at Glilot by an Israeli-Arab, 4 more IDF killed in Lebanon on top of the recent 10, missile strikes by Iran may or may not have hit Israeli war planes earlier this month and Israeli strikes may or may not have hit iran's missile production, Khamenei is reportedly at death's door from natural illness