Quote (IceMage @ 10 Jul 2020 15:45)
I don't agree at all that Biden is an awful candidate. Sure, he's flawed, but he appeals to the sort of voters needed to win the electoral college. If what you're saying is that Biden benefits because Trump finally got tested as president and failed on multiple fronts, I agree. But that's not some fluke... it would've been unfortunate had Trump coasted to re-election simply because he inherited a good economy, revved it up with the tax cuts, and had no major crises to deal with during his first term. Trump could've easily coasted to re-election by responding adequately to COVID-19 and the protests... but he's incapable of competent and uniting leadership.
Out of curiosity, who would've been the best candidate in the Democratic field of people who ran? Trump supporters typically have this naive view that the candidates most palatable to them are the best.
Biden. He's an awful candidate in my opinion, but the rest of this year's Democratic field was god-awful. You know who would have been a good candidate? "Labor Bernie" from 2016. ("Woke Bernie" from 2020 was obviously a failure.)
Biden does appeal to the pivotal swing voters in the swing states, yes, but he doesnt energize his base at all. The number of persuadable voters shrinks from cycle to cycle, and Democrats need solid turnout in places like Philly/Detroit/Miami to win PA/MI/FL. Also note all the polls from pre-covid showing that Trump remained very popular among Obama-Trump voters, far more popular than any Dem canddiate, Biden included. (This might look different now because Trump has lost so much ground all across the board.) A Biden who's clearly way past his peak would not have persuaded these folks to come back in significant numbers.
You're definitely right that it would have been a bit too much if Trump's lucky streak had continued until after the election. On the other hand, it is definitely unlucky that he ran into not just any crisis, but the biggest crisis the country had to face in a century; and in an election year no less. A president Clinton would have handled the technocratic side of the pandemic response better, but she too would struggle a fuckton right now, and be a big underdog for reelection. Can you imagine the outcry from Republican officeholders and voters if president Clinton had ordered nationwide shutdowns and compulsory mask wearing, paired with the economy going down the drain?
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 10 2020 08:00am