Quote (ThatAlex @ Mar 22 2016 09:25pm)
Trump wins Arizona. It's a winner-take-all state so he gets all 58 delegates.
Cruz is poised to do well in Utah. Results to come soon. Utah assigns delegates proportionally unless a candidate gets 50% or greater, at which it is a winner-take-all.
Cruz looks like he might just break over that 50% mark. In that case, he gets all 40 delegates. Trump supporters just gotta hope some of the establishment people in Utah vote for Kasich or Zombie Rubio so that Cruz doesn't get over that 50% mark, otherwise Cruz's delegate haul will nearly double and Trump will come away with nothing.
There were a ton of bad signs in the numbers for Trump on Tuesday. Most of them will go undetected because the media is dumb and they only know how to (or care to) look at the headline, but he should be really concerned about his standing right now. Cruz could have won Arizona had so many early ballots not been cast for Rubio. The knowledge that it's such a robust EV state is what kept Cruz from prioritizing it on his schedule over the last two weeks and only doing the late stops and ads that he did. They knew Rubio staying in after his pathetic showing on Super Tuesday would fuck their guy's chances of winning so they made minimal investment and focused on UT instead.
Had Rubio gotten out of the way like he should have (same for Kasich, months ago) then Cruz would have swept on Tuesday and all anyone would be talking about is his momentum because he'd have won Missouri and North Carolina and cleaned up in downstate IL, too.