Quote (dro94 @ 3 Aug 2021 19:10)
That's very interesting, thanks for linking.
A population which is falling and aging too quickly will obviously cause problems, particularly with maintaining pensions and the welfare state. In the long run, however, I believe that a lower world population is better for everyone and not very problematic. Advances in automation and AI will mean that we will need a lot less people to produce the same amount of goods and certain services. It also defuses the climate change problem quite a bit. If mankind has to operate in carbon-neutral fashion past a certain date, then having a world population of 8bn instead of 11bn means the per capita carbon budget will be 37% higher.
In the very long run, I'm thinking 2200 and beyond, mankind should settle at around 1 to 2 billion people, with stable birth rates at the replacement level.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 3 2021 11:28am