Quote (thesnipa @ Jul 17 2020 01:20pm)
im making predictions about the future based on current trajectory and history, you're refusing to an eluding to us not being able to predict. its 10 years, no 2000.
as to the strawman, its me having a one sided conversation with logical inferences because you neglected to make them. you're the one who brought up 90% reduction in suicide rates due to future puberty blocker studies, a very specific claim. not a claim that it will happen, but that it could. im arguing against that it could happen, as thats all u gave me.
but we're skirting the real issue, i respect parent's rights more than you and am far less utilitarian. im also far more skeptical of trans research studies generally. so its not like we can agree no matter what either of us say.
My position is simply "let's wait for the research, because just claiming that it will be bad wrong because it is dependent on the outcome", which is how all medical research is done and it only becomes an issue when the right gets triggered. The discussion of the right course of treatment for trans kids will likely be more nuanced than "99% reduction in suicide, so let's take all the kids", and will ultimately be left up to professionals in the field who are actually familiar with all the issues. It's how we've made progress on every other medical issue, but for some reason the right gets their panties in a twist and that mechanism is no longer adequate.
You're doing something I see a lot on gay and trans issues, JAQing (Just-Asking-Questions) off. "Hey man, I'm no expert in the literature, I'm just asking questions!". You're not actually trying to be productive, you're trying to cast doubt on the literature without actually understanding it.