Quote (zorzin @ Sep 8 2024 06:29pm)
The Gaza incursion hasnt exactly gone well for the Israelis but i think their status as a regional power can be restored with a war against hezbollah. The can of worms that was opened by the Israelis can only be squashed by uncle sam and a war with lebanon will de facto involve good ol American jdams.
There is a window where Iranian exports of missiles can be curtailed but boy oh boy is that window closing fast.
just saw this one, il just say - pffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffftttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt
and im not disrespecting anyone sources ( internet, twitter, CNN, BBC, Al-Kahida sry i meant Al-Jazira ) or whatever you think the sources are.
your analysis of the situation lacks basic stuff. really pure basic stuff, and from an Israeli point of view it's fucking ridiculous, so il teach you some simple facts in regard of the ongoing war. again - you want facts ? non bullshit analysis from idiots who have zero clue on the middle east ? read ahead.
1. Gaza's situation ( that Hamas isn't completely done to the point they simply can't shoot a firecracker ) is now merely politics. only politics and half-living hostages are the line between the final bullets to their murdering raping heads.
whatever you hear about IDF, military, Uncle Sam aid etc... none of this matters. over 18K terrorists are dead, some are buried and un-calculated, over 10K are wounded - no real clue how many of them are incapable of continuing.
the only thing that delayed the IDF in the south, are politics from all sides. having said that, i believe that right now this is the beginning of the end in the southern border. the final outcome might not be the best outcome for our hostages, but with each day passes, Hamas is begging for a full-scale war ( Iran, Lebanon, Judea and Samaria )
because that's the only thing it can hang on. other than that, they are done and gone, the Israeli hostages are now their only ( true ) card before it's done.
2. Hezbollah is staying in the limits that Israel forced upon him, not the other way around. strategically, Iran and Lebanon are both shit-scared from a full-scale war ( as they should ), not because we are invincible but simply because the circle has shifted. with plenty of field commandos and higher ranked experienced ( from the Syria war\massacre )
Hezbollah officials are vaporized by the IDF, both Iran and Lebanon's proxy system is gonna shatter and break if we are going fully 100% to war with those guys. Hezbollah assets were tremendously impacted in the last 6 months in southern Lebanon, and the diaper-head ( Nassralah ) wants no war. if he will draw outside the lines that the IDF let's him,
you can count on it that it will be Lebanon's final war in this century.
3. Uncle Sam has shown it's weakness to us. we learned that even the U.S have problems, and in terms of ammunition, bombs, etc.. those things that the U.S aid with, are well thought of. it will takes years, even decades, but relying on the U.S for it's massive supply chain will be different in future ahead.
local manufacturing is necessary and it's already taking place as we speak. now this is not that i don't appreciate the U.S, exactly the opposite - they are Israel's greatest ally, but they have their weaknesses and times are changing and the we too see ahead. the U.S have their own problems so relaying on them
on a much lesser scale is gonna be a wise call in terms of logistics\supplies.
4. we didn't use anything that is considered an "insurance policy" in warfare to date. nor do i think we're gonna need it, maybe against Iran in a full scale war. and im not talking about nukes or crap like that.
to sum it up for you, what you read and see in your media, is not what i see from my window. Hezbollah is playing by our rules, we will be a regional power no matter if anyone likes it or not, the proxy war is exposed and it is now way above the surface ( ask the Yemen dudes how are they ) and the gold patience of ours is running out fast.
if those idiots in the north will decide they are not pulling back, then i wish them the best of luck, take a picture from Beirut before and after.
This post was edited by darksoho on Sep 8 2024 11:46am