Quote (thesnipa @ Jan 26 2023 02:15pm)
you keep towing the russian line of "cia operation" as if it wouldnt have happened without cia involvement.
we didnt pull up into a peaceful happy country and jackboot a coup. we entered into a deeply divided nation on the cusp of a coup and helped it happen, and were paid with western loyalty as a result. they were violently protesting in the streets in a wildly pro western capital with a pro eastern newly voted in president*. Homeboy would have gotten Gaddafi'd i'd wager within the year or fled east and tried to legally relocate the state's govt. we greased the wheels.
and the moment that happened, w/o cia invovement, daddy putin rolls in to "keep the peace", just as he's doing now. but with less bombs and more mock trial executions, cementing eastern govt for another 5 decades.
so we could have ceded the entire nation to him for half a century, or let him burn cash to take half of it after a war that kills off a pile of Ukranians. do i support it? no. but from a warhawk world police perspective it makes total sense as long as nuclear war is avoided. even the destruction makes sense, we'll own half of Ukraine after the rebuild on bonds that will pay interest for a century.
but again from a moral lens, all those what-ifs are really moot when a CIA color revolution is what actually happened. From a pragmatic lens, are we actually gaining anything from this scenario?
I think most of these calculations are premised in a zero sum game where Russia's loss is our game, as if China doesn't exist. Even if we avoid nuclear war and bleed out Russia effectively, what are we actually costing/benefiting? We put the world economy in tumult, expended great resources, put the EU into an energy crisis, and drove the unaligned india/israel/south africa/etc away from us and towards Russia in our with-us-or-against-us push, particularly undermining the petrodollar with the KSA. So there are very real and tangible costs to us. What did we gain? The
shitty half of the poorest and most corrupt country in europe, except now its been bombed to shit and is filled with heavily armed literal nazis. The lions share of wealth and resources of Ukraine remain with Russia and largely unscathed, while the western half of Ukraine is by far the least desirable part of europe, to the point the EU did not
want them until it became a full blown NATO vs Russia war. And on top of that, a refugee / humanitarian crisis like Syria all over again.
I've said a few times that unlike the bleeding heart liberals, I'm perfectly willing to embrace an interventionalist foreign policy
when its to our benefit. Not when we're arming Sunnis in Syria to fight Russians only to turn around and arm Kurds to kill Sunnis to help Russians. Not when we're risking nuclear war to fight over a plot of land worth even less than Afghanistan at this point