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Feb 2 2025 09:18pm
Brace for impact
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Feb 2 2025 10:00pm
Per capita is an irrelevant metric. Bilateral trade should benefit both parties over the long run, not one party that just runs ever increasing trade surpluses into the tens of billions year after year and calls it fair. Fact of the matter is the US is an infinitely more important trading partner for Canada than vice versa. Because of that the partner that is much larger and subsidizes the smaller should be able to mold that relationship to its advantage.

There's no both sides-ing this issue. Canada accounts for less than 2% of US GDP while the US accounts for close to 20% of Canada's. Your boycotts would be an inconvenience for the US while the other way around and you would be in a deep recession lining up for bread. I mean i get why the Canada and Mexico and all of the rest will puff out their chest and pretend they can clap back but the US holds all of the leverage here. There will be concessions here, whether you like it or not, the question is either how big or how fast Trump gives up because markets are rolling over.




This is one of the dumber conclusions I've seen so it's probably safe to discard everything else that got to it. The ultra wealthy hold much of their wealth in paper assets i.e. stocks of multinational corporations that benefit from as little taxes as possible and absolutely do not want tariffs. Tariffs = taxes and no corporations want these, that's why Bloomberg, WSJ and every other pro-business publication is churning out pieces like there's no tomorrow why tariffs are bad and why we shouldn't have them. I mean look at US stock futures, Nasdaq down over 2% on tariff news, you really think the ultra wealthy want tariffs?


The point of that entire post was how tariffs have historically NOT increased internal production, just higher prices.
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Feb 2 2025 10:10pm
Per capita is an irrelevant metric. Bilateral trade should benefit both parties over the long run, not one party that just runs ever increasing trade surpluses into the tens of billions year after year and calls it fair. Fact of the matter is the US is an infinitely more important trading partner for Canada than vice versa. Because of that the partner that is much larger and subsidizes the smaller should be able to mold that relationship to its advantage.

There's no both sides-ing this issue. Canada accounts for less than 2% of US GDP while the US accounts for close to 20% of Canada's. Your boycotts would be an inconvenience for the US while the other way around and you would be in a deep recession lining up for bread. I mean i get why the Canada and Mexico and all of the rest will puff out their chest and pretend they can clap back but the US holds all of the leverage here. There will be concessions here, whether you like it or not, the question is either how big or how fast Trump gives up because markets are rolling over.




This is one of the dumber conclusions I've seen so it's probably safe to discard everything else that got to it. The ultra wealthy hold much of their wealth in paper assets i.e. stocks of multinational corporations that benefit from as little taxes as possible and absolutely do not want tariffs. Tariffs = taxes and no corporations want these, that's why Bloomberg, WSJ and every other pro-business publication is churning out pieces like there's no tomorrow why tariffs are bad and why we shouldn't have them. I mean look at US stock futures, Nasdaq down over 2% on tariff news, you really think the ultra wealthy want tariffs?


This is ridiculous, you are THIRTY TRILLION DOLLARS IN DEBT, you lose 2% of your economy and you are losing your status as a world currency and going into a great depression, ironically literally EXACTLY how you did the last time the republicans controlled all three powers.
Do you have any idea how much money 2% of the us economy is?

This post was edited by Plaguefear on Feb 2 2025 10:11pm
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Feb 3 2025 03:09am
Trump should increase the tariffs to 50% next week.
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Feb 3 2025 06:50am
So what exactly is your opinion on the us current trade deficit with literally all its major trade partners? Only thing you’ve done in this thread is posted about me so far?


I think the fact that the US often has a trade deficit with other countries is a sign of our economic strength.

People have this obsession with manufacturing... how many goods the US produces... but we don't exist in the 1950s anymore. The world is different. You know this, you got an advanced degree.

Even if I were to accept the premise that the US trade deficit with various countries is a bad thing, you would need to explain to me how Trump's tariffs will reduce the trade deficit, and how that would be worth it from a broad perspective(economic and otherwise... Canada is an ally).

Reducing the trade deficit via Trump's tariffs could have economic consequences that make it not worth it. That's what I'm hoping for. I want Americans to suffer as a result of Trump being president... otherwise there's no lesson learned.

This post was edited by IceMage on Feb 3 2025 06:56am
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Feb 3 2025 06:53am
Trump should increase the tariffs to 50% next week.


Why not 500%?
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Feb 3 2025 07:44am
I think the fact that the US often has a trade deficit with other countries is a sign of our economic strength.
People have this obsession with manufacturing... how many goods the US produces... but we don't exist in the 1950s anymore. The world is different.You know this, you got an advanced degree.

Even if I were to accept the premise that the US trade deficit with various countries is a bad thing, you would need to explain to me how Trump's tariffs will reduce the trade deficit, and how that would be worth it from a broad perspective(economic and otherwise... Canada is an ally).

Reducing the trade deficit via Trump's tariffs could have economic consequences that make it not worth it. That's what I'm hoping for. I want Americans to suffer as a result of Trump being president... otherwise there's no lesson learned.


1. Yes. It's a sign that our consumer market is exceptional and highly valuable. So what does that mean for the US then? That means we should have highly favorable trade deals and be able to influence those trading relationships how we see fit. It's the same concept as in business. If one client literally buys 30% of all your goods, guess what? That client can quiet literally dictate who they like as CEO, how the want the product created, if the want to allow you to trade with their competitors and so on. You cater to that client. We are that client. So if we go to the seller and say hey you need to do something about immigration or cartels, they say sir how high do we jump.

2. No it's not the 1950s and only a simple person expects we will bring back that era. That doesn't mean we should accept the outcome and produce nothing here. I already posted a few times why manufacturing jobs are important and how in reality they have a much higher multiplier effect on an economy compared to service jobs. Literally all advanced countries around the globe obsess about manufacturing jobs. China subsidizes its manufacturing to be able to outcompete its peers. Germany is highly protectionist with its car industry and is highly fixated on its health. So is Japan about maintaining its manufacturing, particularly of high tech like Fabs. So is Taiwan with Taiwan semi, so is South Korea obsessed with LG, Sony & their other manufacturers so are the Dutch with ASML or with their drugs manufacturing, i mean the list is endless. Literally all these countries want to have a manufacturing base and none simply accept the outcome that all these jobs are going to end up somewhere else. So if they behave like this, why the fuck should the US just accept being cucked? And again, that doesn't mean the US will start making t-shirts or start making cheap electronics sold at Walmart, but it does mean that we are serious about high industry building their plants here and creating the jobs here. Toyota, Taiwan Semi, dozens of other of high tech industries should absolutely be strongly encouraged (both through carrots such as lower corporate taxes and sticks such as tariffs) to make stuff here. We should not just accept being consumers, we should demand investment via jobs/plants, etc from these companies if they want to sell their stuff here.

That's the difference between you and I. I want Americans to succeed and be affluent and i don't really care if it happens under a Democrat or Republican. You're so obsessed with Trump, that you'd rather see fellow Americans suffer so as to be proven right that he was bad after all? Completely unhinged behavior. I don't know how these tariffs pan out but it's pretty obvious that this country has been on an unsustainable path. Spending matters, the debt matters, the deficit matters, lobsided trade as trade partners rip off the US by devaluing their currencies matter, dollar debasement matters, domestic jobs matter. I rather someone like Trump try and fail instead of pretending all these issues don't exist and for my kids to inherit an even shittier country.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Feb 3 2025 07:56am
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Feb 3 2025 08:33am
1. Yes. It's a sign that our consumer market is exceptional and highly valuable. So what does that mean for the US then? That means we should have highly favorable trade deals and be able to influence those trading relationships how we see fit. It's the same concept as in business. If one client literally buys 30% of all your goods, guess what? That client can quiet literally dictate who they like as CEO, how the want the product created, if the want to allow you to trade with their competitors and so on. You cater to that client. We are that client. So if we go to the seller and say hey you need to do something about immigration or cartels, they say sir how high do we jump.

2. No it's not the 1950s and only a simple person expects we will bring back that era. That doesn't mean we should accept the outcome and produce nothing here. I already posted a few times why manufacturing jobs are important and how in reality they have a much higher multiplier effect on an economy compared to service jobs. Literally all advanced countries around the globe obsess about manufacturing jobs. China subsidizes its manufacturing to be able to outcompete its peers. Germany is highly protectionist with its car industry and is highly fixated on its health. So is Japan about maintaining its manufacturing, particularly of high tech like Fabs. So is Taiwan with Taiwan semi, so is South Korea obsessed with LG, Sony & their other manufacturers so are the Dutch with ASML or with their drugs manufacturing, i mean the list is endless. Literally all these countries want to have a manufacturing base and none simply accept the outcome that all these jobs are going to end up somewhere else. So if they behave like this, why the fuck should the US just accept being cucked? And again, that doesn't mean the US will start making t-shirts or start making cheap electronics sold at Walmart, but it does mean that we are serious about high industry building their plants here and creating the jobs here. Toyota, Taiwan Semi, dozens of other of high tech industries should absolutely be strongly encouraged (both through carrots such as lower corporate taxes and sticks such as tariffs) to make stuff here. We should not just accept being consumers, we should demand investment via jobs/plants, etc from these companies if they want to sell their stuff here.

That's the difference between you and I. I want Americans to succeed and be affluent and i don't really care if it happens under a Democrat or Republican. You're so obsessed with Trump, that you'd rather see fellow Americans suffer so as to be proven right that he was bad after all? Completely unhinged behavior. I don't know how these tariffs pan out but it's pretty obvious that this country has been on an unsustainable path. Spending matters, the debt matters, the deficit matters, lobsided trade as trade partners rip off the US by devaluing their currencies matter, dollar debasement matters, domestic jobs matter. I rather someone like Trump try and fail instead of pretending all these issues don't exist and for my kids to inherit an even shittier country.


1. Glad to hear you think the US trade deficit is evidence that we are a strong economy.

2. These countries manufacture because that's what their value is in the market. Taiwan does not make the same products that China makes, because they have a different set of skills and productive ability. And America doesn't produce what China makes because our workers are smarter and more diversified.

Void, I really don't care about your insane partisan rabmlings. I care about ideas and the consequences of those ideas.
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Feb 3 2025 08:56am
1. Glad to hear you think the US trade deficit is evidence that we are a strong economy.

2. These countries manufacture because that's what their value is in the market. Taiwan does not make the same products that China makes, because they have a different set of skills and productive ability. And America doesn't produce what China makes because our workers are smarter and more diversified.

Void, I really don't care about your insane partisan rabmlings. I care about ideas and the consequences of those ideas.


These countries manufacture because they see 1. the economic value and 2. they understand the long term benefits both economic and strategic to actually make stuff and not only consume.

You're still stuck in China of 40 years ago mentality. Newsflash, they are the number 1 maker of EV's, they make a shit ton of robotics/drones, they are building nuclear reactors at break neck speed, they already produce 2x electricity we do (which is the new indicator of who is likely to win the AI race as it's incredibly energy intensive) they are heavily investing in high end manufacturing of the future. And all of this is supported and encouraged by their own government, both through direct investment and currency manipulation.

TBH we're destined to lose the economic war with China, they are aligned on progress, while here we have low IQ people that so hate Trump that they'd rather he put zero pressure on high industry to domesticate production because they want to prove he's bad. Mate, all my posts have been on topic, while your Trump centric posts pepper PARD throughout, regardless of topic, he is your center of gravity on quite literally everything.
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Feb 3 2025 09:35am
As of literally 6 minutes ago:

Quote
We have a deal!

*MEXICO'S SHEINBAUM SAYS TARIFFS DELAYED FOR A MONTH


https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/1886435921983045814

I still don't get this deterministic "it is what it is and we should just accept it and do nothing" mentality. The short term downside is minimal to the potential benefit. If playing hardball leads to concession, why not? Why is everyone so scared and is so conditioned to never rock the boat?
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