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Nov 4 2020 07:39am
Quote (Kayeto @ 4 Nov 2020 14:31)
That seems to be the most likely scenario right now. And Nevada seems to be the biggest uncertainty of the three. 4 hours ago, I would have said that Nevada was the least uncertain of the three.


Quote (AspenSniper @ 4 Nov 2020 14:25)
correct. it's over. now we just have to wait for trump's fraud claims/republican legal pursuit to come and go. but yeah joe biden will be president come january. that's all but official.


I checked Michigan: "Detroit by night"
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Nov 4 2020 07:39am
Quote (thesnipa @ Nov 4 2020 08:35am)
those are problems, that's half the way there. you're missing the fishy.

not shocking as you have half a normal IQ.





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Nov 4 2020 07:45am
Quote (Ghot @ Nov 4 2020 07:39am)


As predicted by aspen, salty trump voters will deny the election results based on whatever straws they can grasp at.

long defined late mail in voting laws, people legally standing in line to cast their votes after poll closing time, etc.

it will be fun to see you act like a butthurt 2016 HRC voter if Biden wins tho. cant wait for that. hundreds of memes crying for weeks about the results.
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Nov 4 2020 07:47am
so i guess the 20-30% implied probability trump still has in betting market is mostly just the odds of a coup at this point
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Nov 4 2020 07:49am
Quote (Nathan @ Nov 4 2020 09:47am)
so i guess the 20-30% implied probability trump still has in betting market is mostly just the odds of a coup at this point


or it's just Nevada+Pennsylvania

while unlikely, it is possible.
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Nov 4 2020 07:49am
Quote (Nathan @ Nov 4 2020 07:47am)
so i guess the 20-30% implied probability trump still has in betting market is mostly just the odds of a coup at this point


No, he just need to win GA + NC + PA + MI, all of which he currently leads. But there are still mailed votes to count.
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Nov 4 2020 07:51am
Quote (thesnipa @ Nov 4 2020 05:45am)
As predicted by aspen, salty trump voters will deny the election results based on whatever straws they can grasp at.

long defined late mail in voting laws, people legally standing in line to cast their votes after poll closing time, etc.

it will be fun to see you act like a butthurt 2016 HRC voter if Biden wins tho. cant wait for that. hundreds of memes crying for weeks about the results.


Need to see some results before any such events can occur.

Lot of people seeming to want to call it suddenly, yet next to nothing has changed in the last 4 hours. :rolleyes:
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Nov 4 2020 07:52am
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Nov 4 2020 07:51am)
Need to see some results before any such events can occur.

Lot of people seeming to want to call it suddenly, yet next to nothing has changed in the last 4 hours. :rolleyes:


i predicted a trump win pre-votes, and am not calling it at all.

upon looking at the map at my morning dump, before i read any narratives on the states left to break, i called it for trump, not biden.
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Nov 4 2020 07:53am
As a Canadian i'm interested to see the outcome of this. Close race thus far.
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Nov 4 2020 07:53am
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Nov 4 2020 08:51am)
Need to see some results before any such events can occur.

Lot of people seeming to want to call it suddenly, yet next to nothing has changed in the last 4 hours. :rolleyes:




They're gonna start counting again at 8am, 9am 10am and 11am depending on the state. The times are in the CNN article.
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