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Nov 4 2020 07:03am
Quote (GLYC123 @ Nov 4 2020 08:52am)
10 to 1 Ratio? I thought mail in ballots were counted first.


varies by state. Each state has a different procedure for the order things were counted. All night, the analysts have been breaking down each district and saying what % of uncounted votes were mail-in. That's what you need to look at to get a real clear picture.
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Nov 4 2020 07:03am
Quote (AspenSniper @ Nov 4 2020 06:46am)
yep. michigan, wisconsin, arizona are looking safe and solid for biden,

Prepare to see people posting ALL DAY TODAY "wahhh Trump had it last night, democrats must be doing fraud stuff otherwise how could they suddenly be taking 75% of the remaining votes?!"


i have yet to hear a good justification for counting mail in ballots so late other than "prevents fraud", and you're right it will be called fraud if trump loses.
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Nov 4 2020 07:04am
Quote (GLYC123 @ Nov 4 2020 08:00am)
A 10 to 1 Ratio? None of the early mail in voting data showed anything near that


Oh sorry no not 10:1, more like 4:1. Altho philly was like 20:1.
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Nov 4 2020 07:05am
Quote (GLYC123 @ Nov 4 2020 07:52am)
10 to 1 Ratio? I thought mail in ballots were counted first.


Nope, republican lawmakers said no to that and said they had to wait to election day to even begin counting them. Plenty of states counted mail-in votes first and have been counting them for days.

That's why PA has a 600,000 vote lead, but there are about 1 million votes still to be counted and of that the majority are in philly/pittsburgh, which are like 80%+ democrat. So theoretically, that last million votes could be 800k democrat and Biden could win. This isn't that complex, but Trumpers are still gonna cry fraud. I think it'll be even closer than that.

This post was edited by AspenSniper on Nov 4 2020 07:07am
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Nov 4 2020 07:07am
Quote (balrog66 @ Nov 4 2020 07:00am)
Definitely possible, although NV and PA are still very much up for grabs for him. It's gonna be a small majority either way.


Yep yep I just kind of assume Nevada will go blue since it did for Hillary but that’s wrong of me to assume as Hillary barely won it in 2016.
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Nov 4 2020 07:09am
Quote (AspenSniper @ Nov 4 2020 08:05am)
Nope, republican lawmakers said no to that and said they had to wait to election day to even begin counting them. Plenty of states counted mail-in votes first and have been counting them for days.

That's why PA has a 600,000 vote lead, but there are about 1 million votes still to be counted and of that the majority are in philly/pittsburgh, which are like 80%+ democrat. So theoretically, that last million votes could be 800k democrat and Biden could win. This isn't that complex, but Trumpers are still gonna cry fraud. I think it'll be even closer than that.


Seen an update on those numbers? Last I saw was 1.8m left to count for PA, but I drove to work so I lost count of everything and all my twitter feeds lol.
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Nov 4 2020 07:12am
Quote (Tanny @ Nov 4 2020 09:02am)
Looks like it’s coming down to Michigan


I might have agreed with this a couple hours ago. But now that it's swinging in Biden's favor, I am starting to think that Nevada might actually be the closer race

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Nov 4 2020 07:13am
Quote (Kayeto @ Nov 4 2020 07:38am)
going into this night, I thought that we'd have one state that was going to be "2000 Florida all over again". But it turns out that we might have more than one. As many as FIVE states could the topic of ongoing discussions for a week. This is mind boggling.




Yeah there was nothing stopping Trump at about 11-12 last night. then the funny business started in the five battleground states. WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, and also in NV.

There's not much WE can do about it. The RNC has thousands of lawyers, ready for the BS that's about to happen.
Everyone of those states I mentioned has 100's of thousands of uncounted ballots that are all from predominantly Democratic areas.

There's been all kinds of funny business, that started late last night. "Oh these ballots are incorrect, we have to recopy them". For example.
Or these ballots weren't filled out properly... lets get those people and have them ... quick bring us a correct one.
Etc., etc., etc.
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Nov 4 2020 07:14am
Well, that MN-2 race changed overnight. About 15 pages ago, I had posted that it was around a 150 vote difference with 100% of precincts reporting. With more absentee ballots being counted, it's up to a 2,000 vote spread.

That seems to be happening all over the country, WRT mail-in ballots.
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Nov 4 2020 07:15am
Quote (Ghot @ Nov 4 2020 08:13am)
Yeah there was nothing stopping Trump at about 11-12 last night. then the funny business started in the five battleground states. WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, and also in NV.

There's not much WE can do about it. The RNC has thousands of lawyers, ready for the BS that's about to happen.
Everyone of those states I mentioned has 100's of thousands of uncounted ballots that are all from predominantly Democratic areas.

There's been all kinds of funny business, that started late last night. "Oh these ballots are incorrect, we have to recopy them". For example.
Or these ballots weren't filled out properly... lets get those people and have them ... quick bring us a correct one.
Etc., etc., etc.


Texas' courts gave me hope. Trump tried to trash a bunch of drive-in votes in Harris county and the 100% republican courts all said that was fuckin stupid and allowed the votes to count.
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