Quote (ownyaah @ Apr 15 2024 01:05pm)
Living in fantasy land.
The reason i told you to look at the saudi 2019 attack is because it is very similar in nature. The one in saudi arabia did little damage also, but made saudis realise that iran could hit any part of the countries critical infrastructure with pinpoint accuracy. They also had plenty of patriot batteries etc, but it isn´t hard to overwhelm AA, so you have to pick and choose what to defend (lesson being learnt in ukraine also). Secondly, saudis realised that the US wouldn´t go to war for them, isrealis will realise this as well.
If you hit oil production, the next attack won´t be over in 1 day and it certainly won´t be telegraphed. AA depletion will occur, and you would be forced to take massive losses in critical infrastructure. This isn´t gaza we are talking about, fighting against people with aks and rpgs.
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Furthermore, the distance to iran is far too massive, the missiles would be coming from lebanon. Hitting iran proper, would be even harder. There is a reason iran has a stockpile in lebanon..
exactly the opposite - your comment is the more fictional one, and il explain. what you failed to evaluate are several critical factors, or maybe you are unaware of those.
so heads up, no disrespect here.
1. the Iranian for years took it from behind by an Israeli hand ( nuclear scientists, military advisors, assets in Syria, assets in Iraq and more ). the last hit in Damascus hurt them the most and a retaliation was expected.
2. the retallion was planned for about two weeks, in that time Israel already collected and received information of the possible sites\bases. the Iranian made sure we ( Israel ) can see everything they move and fuel, and prepare. by no means they wanted
anything remarkley close to a direct war.
3. Iran uses proxies for a reason is something we all know far better than anyone. not risking direct war till they actually have the ability to fire a nuclear warhead, they are dependent ( like Saudi Arabia ) on oil and gas, and have serious critical issues with water.
the Iranians are cunning, yet the last thing they want is a direct loose war taken to their homeland against Israel.
4. around 85~ ballistic missiles in addition to the 100+ that the Arrow system took down has FAILED. some on Iranian ground, some died on the way. that's a seriously pathetic statistic specially when they blabbing about their abilities in that area of war.
5. Hezbollah - on a direct order day from Iran to fully go in with Israel might as well hang himself alongside Lebanon. what you saw in Gaza is 5% of the fire and devastation Lebanon will be buried under if that shit will happen. they are at the moment - biting and staying at the perimeters Israel has quietly set.
now as i stated earlier, Iran is a cunning player that by no means want a direct war with Israel. having said that im not pretending that Israel will have a good time or an easy time going to war with Hezbollah and Iran, exactly the opposite, it will be long, hard and people will die here no matter how much defensive
miracles we have. but, oil fields, dams, and basically their entire economy is going to be buried on a full scale war. the U.S will tag along if you like it or not.
last thing - what @Many_Names told you about the mentality in the middle east is right on spot. you are mistaken if you think you can compare the middle east to the U.S or some other western liberal place. when you are growing up here, and doing your service, raising a family here, you learn some things that outsiders
will have hard time to swallow.
strategically, Iran did something that Israel can exploit. Jordan, Saudis.. and other countries around are ALL withing the line of fire of Iran. trust me and copy paste my comment when i tell you as an Israeli : the regime in Iran will not last. if the worst scenario will come to reality, Israel will not allow another Oct.7 for the ages.
hitting Iran proper will be done is various ways. from the sea, air, cyber warfare, and from within. all of those are practical and usable. what makes you think that an F-35 has not already been above Iranian space several times in the past ? obviously you guys are like cheerleaders at age.
This post was edited by darksoho on Apr 15 2024 10:32am