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Nov 2 2021 08:37pm
Quote (excellence @ Nov 2 2021 09:33pm)
not so sure. their ‘conscience of the senate’ Robert Byrd (D) was in the kkk and mentored hillary and biden


At some point enough time will elapse that democrats will no longer have any more living relics of their jim crow era klan time, but for now Joe 'racial jungle' Biden is president.
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Nov 2 2021 08:58pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 2 Nov 2021 19:37)
At some point enough time will elapse that democrats will no longer have any more living relics of their jim crow era klan time, but for now Joe 'racial jungle' Biden is president.


:rofl:
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Nov 2 2021 09:05pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 3 Nov 2021 03:25)
I'd contrast it with climate change modelling. There's a huge uncertainty in climate models, giving wildly different ranges and predictions of phenomenon like extreme weather events and continental weather patterns. But they all generally agree its going to get warmer- not just an average, but for sure its getting warmer, just not always clear by how much. The conventional logic going into a midterm already dictated that republicans would have an advantage as the minority party, presidents almost always lose seats in congress, and maybe with this as a bellwether we can revise our estimate up by a degree or two in favor of republicans. But, and this is a big but, the uncertainty is a huge range here. We might look at an expected R+4/5 average, but from now to election day we could be in a 3rd covid wave, or joe biden could not wake up from one of those daytime naps, or any other curveball. It could be D+3, it could be R+10. We might see democrats gain seats in the senate and have a majority without needing Manchin/Simena's approval. We might see a landslide for Republicans
I don't think I'll be comfortable with predictions until 2 months out


Previously, we only had historical data to suggest that a midterm backlash against the incumbent was the average outcome to expect out of the midterms. Now, we have empirical data from the current election cycle as evidence that Democrats are indeed looking to be on the usual path to the usual midterm shellacking. This data point reduces the uncertainty about where the country is headed politically. Yes, there are still many moving parts so the range of credible results is still fairly wide, and yes, there are still tail risks which could lead to a blowout in either direction - but I would say the CI has nonetheless shrunk based on tonight's results.

With made up numbers to illustrate my point: before tonight, a 95% confidence interval for the congressional margin in the 2022 midterms might have been [D+3, R+9.5], but now it has turned into [D+0.5, R+10].

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 2 2021 09:06pm
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Nov 2 2021 09:22pm
red in the lead ooooooOOOO maybe they close the polls ........"we tired"...................... and it be a surprise in the morning

Who gave the order for vote counting to stop on Nov 3, 2020? 11.03.21
https://www.bitchute.com/video/jo70PgHrUjUY/
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Nov 2 2021 09:25pm
Quote (bogie160 @ Nov 2 2021 06:19pm)
I can't imagine you actually read it if that's your genuine takeaway.


We had this discussion recently where we both agreed that children should be taught history without glossing over the ugly side of it. I think the most important takeaway from learning history is that it IS nuanced but you don't want to miss the forest for the trees. One aspect of whitewashing is when you use a set of facts to weave a narrative that isn't correct. A great example of this is the Lost Cause narrative which continues to see success today. Anyway, Goomshill's analysis on Native American history is what gives the game away. If you pollute the waters enough, you'll come to the conclusion that "both sides are bad" and leave it at that. We should not teach history in a way that lends itself to false equivalences. That's not to say that we shouldn't teach the atrocities done by Native Americans but it needs to be in the context where most people see a forest and not the Gobi Desert.
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Nov 2 2021 09:25pm
Quote (TiStuff @ Nov 2 2021 10:22pm)
red in the lead ooooooOOOO maybe they close the polls ........"we tired"...................... and it be a surprise in the morning

Who gave the order for vote counting to stop on Nov 3, 2020? 11.03.21
https://www.bitchute.com/video/jo70PgHrUjUY/


Cargo plane inc with a bunch of D ballots.
SHUT IT DOWN
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Nov 2 2021 09:30pm
https://www.foxnews.com/media/msnbc-nicolle-wallace-critical-race-theory

meanwhile in lefty-land, critical race theory “doesn’t exist” lmao
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Nov 2 2021 09:33pm
Terry McAuliffe lost.
Brandons America causing red wave.
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Nov 2 2021 09:34pm
Quote (thundercock @ Nov 2 2021 08:25pm)
We had this discussion recently where we both agreed that children should be taught history without glossing over the ugly side of it. I think the most important takeaway from learning history is that it IS nuanced but you don't want to miss the forest for the trees. One aspect of whitewashing is when you use a set of facts to weave a narrative that isn't correct. A great example of this is the Lost Cause narrative which continues to see success today. Anyway, Goomshill's analysis on Native American history is what gives the game away. If you pollute the waters enough, you'll come to the conclusion that "both sides are bad" and leave it at that. We should not teach history in a way that lends itself to false equivalences. That's not to say that we shouldn't teach the atrocities done by Native Americans but it needs to be in the context where most people see a forest and not the Gobi Desert.


both sides are indeed bad.

Romans 3:10-18
King James Version

10 As it is written, There is none righteous, no, not one:

11 There is none that understandeth, there is none that seeketh after God.

12 They are all gone out of the way, they are together become unprofitable; there is none that doeth good, no, not one.

13 Their throat is an open sepulchre; with their tongues they have used deceit; the poison of asps is under their lips:

14 Whose mouth is full of cursing and bitterness:

15 Their feet are swift to shed blood:

16 Destruction and misery are in their ways:

17 And the way of peace have they not known:

18 There is no fear of God before their eyes.
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Nov 2 2021 09:35pm
Quote (lolkggz @ Nov 2 2021 08:33pm)
Terry McAuliffe lost.
Brandons America causing red wave.


lol
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