d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Off-Topic > General Chat > Political & Religious Debate > What Happened To The Flu?
Prev191011121317Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Aug 29 2021 02:13pm
Quote (thundercock @ Aug 28 2021 06:59pm)
You understand Thor's math, right? Any sort of exponential growth is going to be substantially less if the base is smaller. It's obviously a back of the hand calculation but the essence of it makes perfect sense. I don't think anyone is saying that it's the end all be all but it's definitely a substantial contributor.


Based on his posting history I'd say there's like a 0.5% chance he understands the math I posted.
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Aug 29 2021 02:18pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Aug 28 2021 06:19pm)
Well that was kind of the point, but we live in a binary world nowadays. You're either a conspiracy nut that believes this is all a ploy to stick 5g whatever nonsense or you believe everything the government says and don't even dare question things out of curiosity or for general discussion/debate.

I said it on one of the first pages I believe preventative measures played some role, I'm just skeptical to attribute that to the complete collapse of the flu virus. Most scientists aren't making that stretch of a call but thank god with we have a bunch of pard experts assuring me that's exactly what led to a 99% collapse in the flu rate.


Like I already explained, you only need a modest 30% reduction in spread rate to totally collapse the flu. I'm not an expert, but I'd be pretty damn surprised if Covid measures resulted in less than a 30% spread reduction in the flu.

Hell, if we just reduce the spread by 20% with a starting spread rate of 1.5, then that's still an 82% reduction in total flu cases.

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%20(0.75*1.5)%5Ex)%20/%20(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%201.5%5Ex)

and a reduction of 15% results in 72% reduction in cases.

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%20(0.85*1.5)%5Ex)%20/%20(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%201.5%5Ex)

I'd seriously question the methods of any study that concluded flu spread was reduced by Covid measures by less than 20%.



Now let's assume a really really low spreading flu season. A spread rate of 1.1. And let's assume Covid measures only reduced spread by 15%. This is making as many possible shitty assumptions.

and we still get that Covid measures would have reduced flu spread by 60%

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%20(0.85*1.1)%5Ex)%20/%20(sum%20from%201%20to%2010%20of%201.1%5Ex)



I hope I've shown that even if we make the absolute worst assumptions, Covid measures are still overwhelmingly likely to have been the cause of virtually all of the drop in flu cases.

This post was edited by NetflixAdaptationWidow on Aug 29 2021 02:25pm
Member
Posts: 47,192
Joined: Sep 5 2016
Gold: 100.00
Aug 29 2021 02:20pm
how come they got covid?
(because they didnt mask and didnt antisocial distance)
but how come they didnt have the flu?
(because they masked up and did antisocial distance)

This post was edited by TiStuff on Aug 29 2021 02:23pm
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Aug 29 2021 02:23pm
Quote (TiStuff @ Aug 29 2021 03:20pm)
how come they got covid?
(because not enough people masked and antisocial distanced)
but how come they didnt have the flu?
(because some people masked up and antisocial distanced)


fixed for you.

Not that hard when English is your first language.
Member
Posts: 47,192
Joined: Sep 5 2016
Gold: 100.00
Aug 29 2021 02:24pm
Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ Aug 29 2021 01:23pm)
fixed for you.

Not that hard when English is your first language.


lol thanks
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Aug 29 2021 02:26pm
Quote (TiStuff @ Aug 29 2021 03:24pm)
lol thanks


What are your toughts on Biden's ties to the Chinese? You're big on bitchute so I figured you'd have posted in that thread.
Member
Posts: 11,245
Joined: Jul 20 2006
Gold: 18,784.00
Aug 29 2021 02:31pm
Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ Aug 29 2021 10:26pm)
What are your toughts on Biden's ties to the Chinese? You're big on bitchute so I figured you'd have posted in that thread.


Oops wrong post

This post was edited by TheHitman on Aug 29 2021 02:32pm
Member
Posts: 12,464
Joined: Feb 14 2018
Gold: 19.00
Aug 29 2021 02:33pm
Nothing happen to the Flu.
Im trying to recover RN
Member
Posts: 33,927
Joined: Oct 9 2008
Gold: 2,528.52
Aug 29 2021 02:37pm
Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ Aug 29 2021 04:13pm)
Based on his posting history I'd say there's like a 0.5% chance he understands the math I posted.


What is the math of contracting HIV after working in a BSL-2 laboratory after working there for 2 years?
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Aug 29 2021 02:47pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Aug 29 2021 03:37pm)
What is the math of contracting HIV after working in a BSL-2 laboratory after working there for 2 years?


Considering BSL-2 is just a safety categorization, and one that would classify labs that aren't working with things that are expected to infect humans, I'd say pretty low chance they got it from the lab.

Sounds like somebody cheated on his/her spouse and then tried to blame it on the lab.
Go Back To Political & Religious Debate Topic List
Prev191011121317Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll