Quote (IceMage @ Dec 3 2024 02:44pm)
I don't know what you mean.
If its helpful, I think he's talking about how Ukraine was a relatively stable, peaceful and functional democracy prior to 2014 and even after the Maidan western Ukraine aligned with the US/EU was capable of becoming an insular but functional democracy, like so many post schism countries have achieved. The only holdup to a peaceful resolution to the slow burning civil war was the American-backed proxy war premised on western Ukraine's claim to the east. One not backed up by international law (as a coup d'etat) nor any moral high ground (after massacres and years of siege) nor by force of arms (territory never held for a day)
Ukraine could have diplomatically resolved this war before it even began in earnest. There is every reason to think Putin would have negotiated in good faith for the separatist regions being given autonomy, when his bargaining position was asking so much less than we've ceded to him on the battlefield. We have the transcripts and tapes, Putin asked for mere recognition and deconfliction. Macron was hostile and dismissive and refused to acknowledge the separatists at all, not giving them any recognition for even the start of bargaining. That only Kyiv was legitimate and separatists are all terrorists. Even though only the DPR/LPR/Crimea now followed the last lawfully elected government regime and Kyiv was ruled by a revolutionary junta.
We could make all the moralizing lectures we wanted. And our hypocrisy was not backed up by the necessary force of arms to take the lands we claimed. Ukraine even post Maidan had every opportunity to achieve a peaceful long term solution as a
smaller country that didn't lay full jurisdiction over the people they had disenfranchised. It was NATO powers that forced a conflict.
Whats the counterargument? Putin was lying? What did he have to gain? Trust people when they're asking for something to their own benefit. Russia would much rather control a sphere of influence that cost them no blood or treasure than fight a years long war. Thats what you realize when you analyze geopolitics from the standpoint of (mostly) rational actors, rather than our brave shining knights against their thuggish ogres