Quote (EndlessSky @ Mar 7 2022 01:39am)
I don't see seizing Russian oligarch assets as thievery in this case. Those fuckups knew that they were in a mafia organization and now they're getting what they deserve.
Theft is theft, property is property. If America and the EU won't honor the property rights of world powers they antagonize, the rest of the world will stop trusting western financial institutions, investments and ports. People had this fear of investing in Chinese real estate before the boom, a justifiable anxiety that the Chicom government could simply seize their properties and redistribute them at any time, whenever the west and China come to blows. Well, it happened with the Dollar and Euro markets first. It lets the hawks thump their chests and cheer as Russia takes a smack in the short term, but it sweeps the rug out from under the West's dominance of world markets in the long run. When even Israel won't side with America in geopolitics, we're headed into peril.
Quote (Nibthebarb @ Mar 7 2022 01:54am)
Commodities index skyrocketing. Good for me because I saw it coming and got out of tech, bad for the world because of why that happened.
I've never been more genuinely concerned for the well-being of America and the West. You cannot cut off the world's largest wheat exporter and one of the largest fossil fuel exporters without a plan for producing it/buying it elsewhere, and from what I can tell, the current leaders of the west are too beholden to "green energy" interests to do anything that prudent. I have to wonder, why are they burning down the house? Do they realize they're headed for a massive political loss this year and are just going scorched earth like a scorned ex?
I figured we'd be okay and would make it to 2024 without a massive economic shock. Now, it's looking like it might even happen this year. The leaders of America have their heads so far up their own ass - they think they hold all the cards. They're even talking about sanctioning India and China for not sanctioning Russia, despite how both countries have tacitly disapproved of the Ukraine invasion. America is the evil empire and deserves everything that's coming its way, and while that means the Democrats will be absolutely obliterated, this and what's coming is far too heavy a price to pay for it.
And that assumes Russia's incredible nuclear arsenal stays idle, which adds yet another, well, wrinkle.
There's also the element of just how haphazard and poorly strategized this was. Putin clearly waited until Nord Stream II was finished and Ukraine no longer had the leverage of a pipeline transit country to hold against Russia. Meanwhile the West moved against Russian markets without first building the fleet of LNG tankers or terminals, without providing for alternative imports of gas or wheat for europe or subasia, without giving Russia any out for global finance other than falling right into Chinese arms. How fucking more stupid could we be? We didn't cut Russia off from the world, we sent them to China. Let's not pretend the Petroyuan will always be precluded by Chinese currency manipulation when America pulled out the stops on quantitative easing.
We could very well start antagonizing India out of misguided self righteousness and manage to completely isolate the West within a few years. The Iron Curtain isn't being put up around Russia this time around.