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@ the bold - If Bernie is an unabashed socialist, then Germany is full on socialism. Bernie advocates for the type of system you literally live in right now.
Bernie is always framing his ideas in an offensively revolutionary tone and given the historical aversion of Americans to anything labeled "socialism", his rhetoric would have caused a lot of the suburban, well-off swing voters to get cold feet.
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I think you're selling short what Bernie brought to the table. Trump was very unpallatable to those suburbanites who always vote, and they would have almost certainly not voted for Trump over Bernie. Similarly Bernie massively energized the base, and that's what matters for Democrats.
I think you're deluding yourself if you think Bernie had this overwhelming base support. If a clear-cut majority of the Dem base had wanted him to become the nominee, no amount of manipulation and underhanded tactics could have thrown the primary to Hillary.
You are also wrong when you claim that Trump was unpalatable to those suburbanites. In 2016, he still held a crucial part of formerly Republican-leaning suburban voters and college-whites that he later lost (2018 and on). I don't see any reason to assume that these types of voters he was able to hold against Hillary would have flipped to Bernie of all people.
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His 2020 strategy was ass. At least admit that much. His whole argument was "but Biden's a communist!". He didn't talk about holding the elite accountable. Didn't talk about reforming important issues. Didn't talk about economic policy. When you don't talk about economic policy it becomes a toss up on culture war bullshit, which works on state level but works less so for the presidency.
The pandemic definitely erased Trump's incumbent advantage. I agree that without Covid Trump likely would have won. However, with Covid he wasn't down and out. He just did... everything wrong on both messaging and policy.
I probably didn't communicate my point well enough: we really have to distinguish between two questions:
1.: did Trump run a good campaign in 2020? The clear answer is "hell no, he ran a god-awful campaign!"
2.: was the Trump campaign making the correct strategic considerations at the beginning of 2020, given the conditions at the time? My answer to this one is "yes".
I already explained why it was strategically the right call for Trump to stop talking about race and immigration all the time. Given his unpopularity and his tendency to polarize the electorate in a way where he riles up slightly more voters against him than for him, it was the right idea at the start of 2020 to seek depolarization and ride a booming economy and the enthusiasm edge of his base to reelection while trying to stay clear of controversy. This plan of course flew out of the window when the pandemic hit, shredded the economy, caused emotions to run even higher than before, brought Democrats' strongest policy issue (public health/healthcare) to the forefront and brutally exposed his flaws and shortcomings. When the conditions changed, his governing style or his campaign strategy would have needed to change accordingly, but he was unable to do either, instead flailed around aimlessly and helplessly as the clock kept ticking down against him.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jan 9 2022 02:12am