Quote (NetflixAdaptationWidow @ 2 Jan 2022 02:16)
There's a reason why the fed targets an average of 2%. Because years like this happen.
Dunno about the FED, but when it comes to the ECB, this is revisionist history. Its goal used to state "our target is always to have an inflation near, but below 2%". Recently, they changed the ECB mission statement to "our target is a long-term average inflation of near, but below 2%", which was specifically done so the ECB could justify keeping up its insane QE in spite of a surging inflation. (Which is what the mediterranean states wanted for a long time anyway, so that they can inflate away their untenable mountains of public debt at the expense of the other, more fiscally solid eurozone countries.)
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This and next year will likely be high inflation, but not like something that's gonna shatter the economy.
Possible, but I think you're overconfident in this prediction. Also gotta keep in mind that a sudden surge of inflation will catch a lot of people off guard, for example because they're unable to renegotiate their salary accordingly to compensate for the sudden loss in purchasing power. Six years of 0% inflation, followed by two years of 8% is worse for most folks than eight years of 2% inflation, even if the average is the same.
Anyway, I am of the belief that inflation has
already become a big political liability for Democrats/the Biden admin. We'll see how it plays out.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jan 1 2022 08:31pm