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#11
Oct 31 2020 06:13pm
the real question here is what margin would result in a bet being 1:1 odds
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#12
Oct 31 2020 06:40pm
Quote (Kayeto @ 1 Nov 2020 01:13)
the real question here is what margin would result in a bet being 1:1 odds


I would put the over/under for the EC at Biden 306.
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#13
Oct 31 2020 06:53pm
https://www.270towin.com/maps/mVbDO

This post was edited by EndlessSky on Oct 31 2020 06:54pm
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#14
Oct 31 2020 06:56pm
you guys are silly, trump is obv gonna win
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#15
Oct 31 2020 07:05pm


I think Trump will win. How... not sure. Maybe popular vote, maybe Electoral College.

I don't think anybody wants Harris to be president, and if Biden gets elected, I think that's what will happen.
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#16
Oct 31 2020 07:14pm
Quote (Ghot @ Oct 31 2020 06:05pm)
I think Trump will win. How... not sure. Maybe popular vote, maybe Electoral College.

I don't think anybody wants Harris to be president, and if Biden gets elected, I think that's what will happen.



Judges invalidating hundreds of thousands of legally cast votes because they're partisan hacks.
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#17
Oct 31 2020 07:17pm
Quote (Ghot @ Oct 31 2020 08:05pm)
I think Trump will win. How... not sure. Maybe popular vote, maybe Electoral College.

I don't think anybody wants Harris to be president, and if Biden gets elected, I think that's what will happen.


lolwut?



My prediction: Biden 340, Trump 198

https://www.270towin.com/maps/RlePe
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#18
Oct 31 2020 07:27pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Oct 31 2020 08:40pm)
I would put the over/under for the EC at Biden 306.


so i should be able to get my trump+60 at 1:1, right?
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#19
Oct 31 2020 07:30pm
Quote (Kayeto @ 1 Nov 2020 02:27)
so i should be able to get my trump+60 at 1:1, right?


Even better. If a 306:232 margin is the median outcome in the EC, you should get Trump+70 at 1:1.

I have no idea though where the markets put the over/under for the EC. Maybe my Biden 306 is too low.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 31 2020 07:32pm
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#20
Oct 31 2020 10:32pm
Quote (Santara @ Oct 31 2020 09:17pm)
lolwut?



My prediction: Biden 340, Trump 198

https://www.270towin.com/maps/RlePe





I would go by the polls too... except for one thing. They were ALL wrong in 2016. They all said Hillary would wipe out Trump, and she barely won the popular vote, by a measly 3 million.
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