Quote (Testiclese @ Jun 24 2020 12:06pm)
What got Trump elected was a combination of Hillary being a lame duck and Trump's willingness to let his campaign manager use technology. They basically hired a bunch of nerds and said "figure this shit out", and they did. One of the vehicles they used was identity politics, but that's a function of the reason he got elected, not the underlying reason, IMO.
it's virtually impossible to calculate "well they arent HRC" vote counts, but i'd say a noteable percent of trump voters did it just because it wasnt a vote for Hillary.
then there's the uninformed "i just dont want my taxes to go up" vote, with almost no idea of trumps platform, and no foresight as to what havoc that tiny bit lower tax costs brings.
these two factors moving from 2016 to 2020 could be nominal or massive. or stated another way Biden may get a huge boost just by not being HRC, and 4 years of trump madness may have tax minded voters thinking twice.
2 excuses for a trump vote i heard IRL from people i know:
"well we knew our neighbors were voting for HRC so we voted trump to cancel it out"
"i had no idea of what he even wanted to do once potus, i just didnt like the tax raise from universal healthcare HRC wanted"
i think in 2020 people are far more informed by default, 4 years of wall to wall coverage adds up.
This post was edited by thesnipa on Jun 24 2020 11:18am