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May 18 2026 04:28pm
Only path forward is coexistence. What i find annoying is it's typically the US that frames this in a us or them zero-sum framing. We either win which means they lost or vice versa. To me that's a nonsensical framing and i think there's a lot of special interests here in the US that stand to profiteer from that type framing and national posture. I think there's a path here for China to continue to grow and prosper while the US continues to enjoy a high level of global influence, affluence, etc.

If this coexistence comes with us having to yield places like Taiwan or south China Sea countries to the Chinese sphere, to me that's an acceptable outcome. Lets say we agree to backdoor dealings they get Taiwan but get out of South/Central America, while places like Africa, ME are basically border lands where both find some geopolitical clout, what exactly is wrong with this? Is the alternative where there's massive war and tens of millions die a better alternative? Personally i would view us as the bad guys if we are so unwilling to yield just a little to prevent wide-scale world wars.


Greed and lust for power is too great. We are seeing cracks in globalization experiment. People traded cheap labour and resources for dependence. Gambling your survival on an unstable regime. Its great when there is no conflict but when shit hits the fan you are going to be prepared to dig your backyard for oil and make your own sneakers.
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May 18 2026 06:26pm
China has a lot of investment in US treasury bonds to keep their Renminbi down.
Its a weird relationship that sinks both parties if one does down.

I suspect Chump will let them move on Taiwan to get support in the middle east.
Plus TSMC has facilities in the mainland USA now so the real need to protect Taiwan is pretty much out the window.
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May 19 2026 06:15pm
yes and no. china is a fast ship, and they can turn fast, and accelerate fast. because they lack the bureaucratic guardrails that exist in a western democracy like the USA. but fast ships find their way onto rocks quite often.

the chinese govt is currently trying to do everything it can to remain a manufacturer on a global scale. that means more AI, more automation, more energy, etc. But with 1+ billion mouths to feed they'll feel issues that come with that trajectory faster than the USA. i'd frankly be shocked if they dont renew the 1 child policy in the next 20 years, they need to drastically reduce their population in the coming more AI driven manufacturing economy. and they need to not only match the cost of US producers, but beat it, to serve the US market. due to shipping costs.


This might sound rather horrifying to you.
You know why the Chinese is not afraid of the United States in a all out Nuclear war ?

CCP is waiting and will bait the US to launch Nukes to help them cull a decent part of their population without them doing it themselves.
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May 19 2026 06:28pm
This might sound rather horrifying to you.
You know why the Chinese is not afraid of the United States in a all out Nuclear war ?

CCP is waiting and will bait the US to launch Nukes to help them cull a decent part of their population without them doing it themselves.


thats pretty dark
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May 20 2026 05:38pm
thats pretty dark


It's the CCP or rather it is Chinese "Traditions" too many people, 30 to 50% of the population gone is basically....nothing

This post was edited by Hamsterbaby on May 20 2026 05:38pm
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May 21 2026 05:00pm
Plus TSMC has facilities in the mainland USA now so the real need to protect Taiwan is pretty much out the window.


The TSMC facilities in mainland USA are about 2 generations//4-5 years behind their cutting-edge fabs in mainland Taiwan. Also, production capacity plays a role. If China takes Taiwan, the TSMC fabs in Arizona mean that the US will not be fully cut off from 2nm node technology etc, but it would still take many years and hundreds of billions to scale up domestic chip production to make up for the lost production capacities from the Taiwanese fabs.

In reality, China taking Taiwan with the fabs being blown up would allow China to gain some 5-8 years against the US in terms of the chips race. China being able to seize the Taiwanese fabs fully intact would see them leapfrog some 10-15 years, relative to the US.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on May 21 2026 05:02pm
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