Hyperbole of the first order.
Whenever there is a school or kindergarten shooting I feel terrible for the victims and their familizies and also feel rage for all the losers cosplaying soldiers and the politicians enabling them who made the shooting possible because they love their guns so much. This is not hyperbole, I can be sad and mad at the same time.
You interned in the math department of an insurance company ~15 years ago. The math department. Of insurance.
I have a background in climatology and civil engineering, funny that. The most proximate cause of increase in flood and fire damage is people building in floodplains and wildfire zones, a rate tracking with regional population increase not global climate change. The probable maximum flood increase in precipitation, applicable only to maximum rainfall events and not averages, can increase from anthropogenic climate change by 10% across the US on the credible ranges of the divergent models, a product of limit of maximum water vapor concentration increasing with temperature, the hotter wetter air.And the models predict that by around the year 2100. With a global temperature increase of 2C since the 19th century low. Its not the year 2100, its the year 2025,with less than half that increase, and damages from floods and wildfires and storms have gone up disproportionately fast compared to climate change with CPI-adjusted disasters costing $100-175 billion each year for the past 10 years when in the 1980s it was less than $25b each year. Because there are more people, and they are living in floodplains and in the path of wildfires, in bigger houses, with more inflated insurance and government subsidization and bailouts
I like how you have to show your credentials to then sneakily agree with the climate charge argument (because you know it's true). Another fun fact: I skimmed some studies and they oftentimes highlight that more money should be spent for warning systems and the corresponding personel, things that the current government cut.
Edit: Since providing sources is fun, here if somebody wants to read published science on the topic:
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/81/3/1520-0477_2000_081_0417_ovatie_2_3_co_2.xmlThe preceding review has raised a number of important questions regarding potential changes in extreme events. For many areas analyzed there have been significant changes in short-term extreme events, such as temperature and precipitation. ...
in the United States in this century is likely due as much to the fact that more people live in tornado-prone areas and are able to report tornado occurrences that otherwise would have gone unreported, than to any real increase.
(Gooms point)
Last, it is critical that monitoring efforts, such as the Global Climate Observing System, receive enhanced support.
Without such efforts our ability to detect long-term variability and trends in extreme climate events will remain hampered.Tl;DR:
Floods are increased more due to climate change, tornadoes currently not, Goom knows what he is talking about and carefully words his points to not be exactly 100% lying, just misleading. Also the current government is probably responsible for at least some of the deaths.
This post was edited by SkySwallower on Jul 7 2025 04:31am