omg that's rich coming from you.

In and of itself it wouldn't be likely to set off but in the current climate all of the countries who would get involved are already heavily invested with other problems. Which also isn't necessarily an actual problem at this moment, but have enough flash points and no alliance or power can deal with all of them. There's a minimum of 5 possible flash point potential conflicts right now. In a climate of extreme polarization and uncertainty. As well as multiple active battlegrounds in which multiple major and minor powers are flexing against each other with no regard for the consequences. I wouldn't place any bets on this situation.