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Mar 3 2020 02:12am
Well, tomorrow is the big day. About a third of ALL delegates are up for grabs tomorrow and we should have a pretty good idea about the state of the race after tomorrow

Here is a run down of all the states:
California - 271 delegates by congressional district, 90 based on statewide, 54 PLEOs.
Texas - 149 based on STATE SENATE districts, 49 statewide, 30 PLEOs
North Carolina - 72 based on CD, 24 statewide, 14 PLEOs
Virginia - 65 based on CD, 21 statewide, 13 PLEOs
Massachusetts - 59 CD, 20 statewide, 12 PLEOs
Minnesota - 49 CD, 16 statewide, 10 PLEOs
Colorado - 44 CD, 14 statewide, 9 PLEOs
Tennessee - 42 CD, 14 statewide, 8 PLEOs
Alabama - 34 CD, 11 statewide, 7 PLEOs
Oklahoma - 24 CD, 8 statewide, 5 PLEOs
Arkansas - 20 CD, 7 statewide, 4 PLEOs
Utah - 19 CD, 6 statewide, 4 PLEOs
Maine - 16 CD, 5 statewide, 3 PLEOs
Vermont - 11 CD, 3 statewide, 2 PLEOs
American Samoa - 6 based on combined weight of the population

I won't do an in-depth analysis for each state but you can check out some more details here: https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/D (just select the state that you want). Ultimately, Biden should do really well in the southern states and Virginia while Bernie will do well in New England and the West. The real key is who can win Texas and what the size of Sanders lead in CA will be. I think Sanders winning by single digits in CA would be an unmitigated disaster for him and that would probably cause Biden to come out on top in terms of delegates. If Biden is the delegate leader after tomorrow, he'll undoubtedly be the nominee because the map gets better for him here on out. On the other hand, if Sanders can win convincingly in Texas he may have an insurmountable lead.

One thing to note is that A LOT of votes have already been cast (about half in Texas already) so it's possible that Biden's momentum doesn't help him as much as we'd think. In addition, there are a few wild cards in play. Buttigieg, O'Rourke, and Klobuchar endorsed Biden. Bloomberg dropped half a billion. Warren is viable in a lot of states. At the end of the day, we really shouldn't be shocked if we see a strange outcome.
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Mar 3 2020 03:20am
I wonder how Klob will do in Minnesota, dem early votes.
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Mar 3 2020 08:07am
Prob Bernie with most delegates
But Biden will prob be the nom
Cos if we learned anything from Hillary, it's that a guy like Joe fucking Biden is best equipped to debate and beat Trump..................
:rofl: America
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Mar 3 2020 08:34am




should be an entertaining day. my office is in a state that is voting today so it will definitely be fun watercooler talk throughout the day
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Mar 3 2020 09:02am
Creepy Joe is gonna sneak up on this race like it's a 12 year old girl.

Bloomberg's campaign will be stopped and frisked today, and my guess is they find a gun.

Bernie is going to feel the establishment's cruel hand once again today.
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Mar 3 2020 10:41am
Even CNN is doing a bad painting of Bernie Sanders
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Mar 3 2020 10:54am
https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/02/joe-biden-gets-excited-for-super-thursday/

Biden reminds his voters to vote for him on Super Thursday
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Mar 3 2020 10:56am
Quote (Saucisson6000 @ Mar 3 2020 10:41am)
Even CNN is doing a bad painting of Bernie Sanders


He's awful. CNN is finally telling the truth on air.

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Mar 3 2020 10:56am
Quote (excellence @ Mar 3 2020 10:54am)
https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/02/joe-biden-gets-excited-for-super-thursday/

Biden reminds his voters to vote for him on Super Thursday


I hope Biden win's that Senate seat he said he was running for. I'm really pulling for him.
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Mar 3 2020 01:21pm
Thx for making these threads btw, much appreciated! :)

Until two days ago, I expected Bernie to win big tonight and to head into the convention with a plurality of the delegates. After the massive circling of the wagons around Biden over the last two days, I'm not so sure anymore.

One important point to keep in mind when results are coming in tonight: Biden's best states lie mostly in the eastern half of the country, while Bernie's lie in the west; and there will be lots of late-arriving mail ballots coming over the next couple of days in California, which tend to skew young and independent, i.e. favoring Sanders. So Bernie's final results in CA will most definitely be better than the results we'll get to see tonight. So it's likely that the narrative you'll hear on CNN et al. will undersell Bernie's true performance.
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