Quote (Bazi @ Nov 14 2023 12:22pm)
US September 2022 core high - 6.6%
Current 4.03%, long term average 3.68
Germany June 2023 core high - 5.8%
Current 4.3%, long term average 1.62%
Canada July 2022 core high 5.5%
Current 3.2% , long term average 3.55%
UK may 2024 core high 6.5%
Current 6.1% , long term average 1.9%
France April 2023 core high 6.3%
Current 5.0%, long term average 1.48%
All data per ychart and tradingeconomics as sources, they were both within 0.25% for all values but mostly the same
Using Asian numbers is moronic, Japan especially, even more moronic when trying to compare first world inflation problems. Their case has been unique to the rest of the first world, for the worse, for the last 20-30years
And I included a few of Europe’s major economies not the shit tier ones
Canada > US > Germany >France >UK
In fact Europe is doing terrible and this is core so energy excuse is excluded, Germany a bit better and more on par with US
Of course that’s in regards to inflation goal being 2%. As much as it is the US goal, We are just better consumers compared to the rest of the world. so our actual longer term inflation rate of 3.6 we are already close to
Gg, America wins (well, still rlly Canada)
Jerome Powell Nobel prize tho
I can’t remember the covid stats country to country but in regards to
Who won the economic fight comparing country to country US and Canada have won. Too many dumb America haters, whom are mostly American smh
Canada actually will be easing before the US. This is your actual leading indicator to rate cuts in the US.
We have been in lock step with canada on inflation, they have been just slightly ahead of us
Paused earlier , etc
This is probably a sign of things to come for US, 5.2% gdp is by no means sustainable with the shock rate rising. Not to mention this quarters revision was INFLATED massively by government spending. Something people aren’t broadcasting is the negative revision on consumer spending, much more ominous, down to 3.6%
Basically, I think it’s less about Canada and an upcoming macroeconomic trend
I think soft landing is probably dream scenario and Canada forecasting some pain in their gdp coupled with US warning signs liked decreased public savings, increase credit debt and that at record rates , decreased consumer spending, etc
Tldr I think America gonna get rate cuts sooner than expected too, but Canada leads
This post was edited by Bazi on Nov 30 2023 08:51pm