Quote (fender @ 9 Jun 2017 06:55)
well, looks like may's plan to strengthen her position based on the support she had when she decided to call for snap elections (although she previously, when the polls looked worse, ruled out earlier elections) backfired MASSIVELY - and she's certainly to blame for it.
will be interesting to see how she plans to form a stable, "mainstream government" now...
her plan sure did backfire spectacularly. but when you look at the polling in this figure:
you can see that the tories are actually at about where they were before the sudden poll surge that prompted May to call the snap election. so the tories havent underperformed thaaaaat badly in terms of popular vote.
instead, its the sudden and unexpected comeback of labour which put them in a spot where they could be competitive for a lot of tory-held seats.
ofc, it is the nature of the british election system to be very unpredictable and to sometimes yield dramatic gains or losses of seats based on relatively marginal changes in the popular vote shares. elections in the UK are inherently more risky than in other countries.
furthermore, it was ofc a mistake of May to run such a dreadful campaign. nonetheless, despite its abysmal outcome, I actually still think that the logic behind her call for the snap election was solid.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jun 9 2017 01:00am