Quote (Hizkuntza @ Apr 6 2017 11:21am)
And the "Western Powers" are going to do what differently, exactly? Only the delusional think US & co. will give Assad a free pass after ISIS is defeated. Israel in particular is existentially threatened by Assad's reign due to his historical hostility and his symbiotic ties with Iran; likewise
Israel is not remotely threatened by Assad. He's not even as much aligned as a shiite threat as Iran/Hezbollah. They'd be happy to have Assad in power and keeping his sunni population crushed under heel
Quote
the Trump administration won't give Iran any quarter. Even if the Commander-in-Chief is a dimwit the State Department will realize "oh look, a strong Iran foothold right above Israel" (on top of Iraq being increasingly pro-Iran).
We're fighting Iran's war by directing the kurds right now. Remember when Obama changed the balance of powers by working with Iran?
We're no longer dealing in black and white middle east policy. We leverage our support for Iran to put pressure on the Saudis and stay pragmatic about it, we don't blindly attack anything Iranian anymore.
Quote
Then there's the whole thing about America supporting what are basically secessionists in Northern Syria and Iraq.
Good for us, the more pressure we can put on Erdogan the better. Theres a reason we're making sure turkey doesn't get to move on raqqa even though the kurds have zero intention of occupying it
Quote
Assad has "provoked" everyone from his own citizens to the world powers because murder is the only thing that keeps his regime alive. People here talk like he's some sort of elected official who needs to carefully watch what he does or says. He doesn't.
Assad is a rational actor who will act in his own self interests as best he can. He's not a cardboard 2 dimensional villain twirling a snidely whiplash moustache. He is a strongman dictator and he knows it. He learned his lessons from dear papa in Hama- he's only as cruel as he is calculating
This post was edited by Goomshill on Apr 6 2017 12:16pm