I agree with the general sentiment that this attack makes no sense for assad. however, there were airplanes attacking the city right when the gas was released. the IS doesnt have airplanes, nor do the rebels. this leaves the syrian regime, russia, turkey, and the US as the only possible perpetrators. if it were the americans, russian air surveillance would have caught it and they would have told the world. if it were the turkish airforce, the american/nato radar would know and turkey would already be kicked out of nato by now. the russians as allies of assad are too smart and cunning to conduct such a PR-disaster.
so since the russians neither accused the americans nor denied that aircrafts from the syrian-russian alliance were operating in that area at the time, but instead brought up their bullshit excuse of "accidentally having hit the gas tank" (an excuse whose timeline doesnt match up), this is pretty much the confirmation that it was one of them. if it was a ground-based false flag operation by the rebels, isis, the turkish intelligence or anything like that, the russians would 100% have given a different explanation than the one they gave. so this pretty much rules out those explanations. this leaves only assad.
it baffles me and I really dont understand why assad would do that, for all the reasons already laid out in this thread, but logic points to this conclusion.
the only other fringe explanation I could come up with is that the russians betrayed assad: the russians have been improving their relationship with erdogan and turkey for several months now. they are already allowing the turkish army to operate within the kurdish areas close to the turkish border. it is also no secret that erdogan still wants assad gone, and still has interests in syria that go beyond just preventing a kurdish state on his southern border.
so lets assume for a moment that the russians have secretly come to an agreement with the turks that serves the turkish interests but also prevents the russians interests (keep their military station in tartus, prevent the saudi-katari oil pipeline to the mediterranean). in this case, assad has becoem a liability for the russians. in this case, he serves no more purpose for them, but they also cant just outright ditch him since they would lose their face. and ofc it would send a very inconvenient signal to all their other present and future allies. therefore, it would make sense for the russians to stage a joint false flag operation with the turkish intelligence to frame assad for an atrocious crime that the west cant ignore and that will, further down the line, allow the russians to drop their support for assad without losing face. but I'll admit that this is a very wild and very fringe theory.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 6 2017 11:11am