Democrat Primary Blind Odds - Topic

card_sultan

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#11

Aug 21 2015 05:00pm

Quote (EndlessSky @ Aug 21 2015 04:32pm)

"I'll keep accepting bets for about a week so that there isn't a significant advantage in waiting"

But the actual voting is so still over a year away, so what's the point of betting now and having TC hold on to the fg?

Seems like if you place a bet now, he'll be the real winner.

This post was edited by card_sultan on Aug 21 2015 05:03pm

IceMage

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#12

Aug 21 2015 05:02pm

Quote (card_sultan @ Aug 21 2015 06:00pm)

But the actual voting is so still over a year away, so what's the point of betting now and having TC hold on to the fg?

This. TC, I expect a return on my investment, whether I win or not.

Voyaging

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#13

Aug 21 2015 05:39pm

Ya that's the only thing, I kinda don't wanna tie up my fg for that long

Skinned

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#14

Aug 21 2015 06:01pm

Quote (Voyaging @ Aug 21 2015 06:39pm)

Ya that's the only thing, I kinda don't wanna tie up my fg for that long

I only use mine for media slots.

EndlessSky

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#15

Aug 21 2015 06:03pm

Here goes nothing.

Quote (card_sultan @ Aug 21 2015 07:00pm)

But the actual voting is so still over a year away, so what's the point of betting now and having TC hold on to the fg?

Seems like if you place a bet now, he'll be the real winner.

We've all known him for like five years. He's pretty GG. I don't think he'll pull a Madoff on us.

And lets be honest. FG isn't that susceptible to inflation. The worth has actually gone up since 2011.

Pollster

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#16

Aug 21 2015 08:30pm

Quote (Skinned @ Aug 21 2015 03:42pm)

Do you mean the Iowa primary (caucuses)? Or overall?

This is what I'd really like for someone to run. I might even track down the ~20k I loaned out and never bothered to claw back.

Edit: because "borrowed" and "bothered" are different words.

This post was edited by Pollster on Aug 21 2015 08:33pm

thundercock

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#17

Aug 21 2015 08:40pm

Quote (Pollster @ Aug 21 2015 01:56pm)

As nice of an idea as it is I would really push this back, if you're going to keep the ~1 week window.

Biden could wait until the first week in October to announce. I'm not saying I'd throw in with him, but I wouldn't do it now.

Edit: Also, what if I have another candidate in mind? ;)

The reason I have a one week window is because I like the aspect of "high risk, high reward." The people who bet on Biden now could end up very rich fg wise.

The GOP one is especially interesting because we have 17 candidates to choose from.

Quote (Voyaging @ Aug 21 2015 03:39pm)

Ya that's the only thing, I kinda don't wanna tie up my fg for that long

It will be a long time, that's for sure. Again, high risk, high reward.

carteblanche

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#18

Aug 21 2015 08:44pm

can we go ahead and vote for our prediction of the president in another thread?

thundercock