my record: 6-2 (riding a 5 in a row win streak oh yeee)
fade hydro record: 7-6 (finally positive boys)
pick for the day: nuggets -3.5
reasoning: this should be an easy cover for sure. nuggets rank 6th in the league at scoring off the fast break, while washington is the 6th worst in the league at defending it. washington struggles with dominant bigs, embiid clearly was dominant over gortat, so i expect a more refined and polished jokic to absolutely abuse the rim tonight. washington is allowing 43% shooting from deep, which is fucking terrible, look for the nuggets to abuse the shit out of that tonight. another glaring positive for the nuggets tonight is their bench, which is ranked 6th in the league scoring wise, while washingtons bench ranks 20th, ouch. we all saw the east semi finals last year, we saw that the wizards bench is absolute dogshit. the wizards are 0-5 ats their past 5 games, and 2-4 ats their last 6 in denver. washington struggled against the sixers and the pistons at home, which if we remember from last year, was where they were playing like a whole different team. they had a tremendously long win streak going in washington, but every time they hit the road, it typically ended up with another check mark in the losses column. take the nuggets to comfortably win this game tonight and cover the small line.
Hydro just tailed this pick, so there goes my winning streak, sorry guys.
This post was edited by Sopranos on Oct 23 2017 01:46pm