Quote (Santara @ Apr 8 2014 06:54pm)
You totally are. Look, I understand your point, but job approval standings =/= whether an incumbent will get votes from those same people and you're presenting them in that context.
Except no, I'm clearly not, and I clearly haven't. It's really not that difficult provided you have the capacity to click a link and read the content.
I've only accurately referenced his job approval to show that he is not a "popular incumbent," as erroneously claimed by another poster. No one, anywhere, claimed that his job approval is determinative of the amount of support he'd receive in a reelection. It is simply one metric that measures his popularity, and it was used to demonstrate that the claim in question was false. No one said that his vote share would meet his job approval, and no one said that it wouldn't.
It was also used to demonstrate that, in actuality, he truly is at best an even-money reelection prospect. For example:
Quote (Pollster @ Apr 3 2014 12:24am)
Neither Paul nor Rubio have the requisite appeal or favorability to ward off top-tier challengers in 2016 should they run for reelection.
It is a function of his quality as a candidate. His approval is middling and he is not in a strong position to be reelected, unlike Obama who he was compared to earlier in the thread.
This post was edited by Pollster on Apr 8 2014 05:37pm