Quote (Thor123422 @ 24 Oct 2020 00:32)
The gold standard comparison is south Korea.
We will see a third save as flu season ramps up, not a second.
Right now everybody in the northern hemisphere is going to get nailed. Theres very little we can do to stop it. Were gonna have to do our best to mitigate.
Actually, Vietnam has been doing even better than South Korea if we go purely by the numbers. (Perhaps SK comes out ahead if we adjust for population density.)
I also like what Japan is doing, they're dense and old as fuck, yet have no lockdowns and can even allow fans into stadiums again (not at full capacity ofc) while keeping the numbers at a comfortable and stable level.
Anyway, the broader point is this: with the exception of some East Asian countries (and the tiny isolated island New Zealand), everyone got steamrolled by this virus.
And it should also be noted that South Koreans authorities are having access to personal data and movement profiles of their citizens in a way which would be completely incompatible with western data privacy laws.
Quote (Bazi @ 24 Oct 2020 00:30)
We will see man. Everything pointing to a pretty large spike to come. Hope I am wrong and to your point it would definitely be a pro trump point if in fact we don’t see the spike that many are foreseeing
It would mean are asymptomatic rates are much higher than what we predicted and it already is rampant in Communities and some degree of “herd immunity” has actually developed ... judging from world data I don’t find this to be the likely scenario tho
Agreed, I expect things to get dramatically worse in the U.S. too. Still worth pointing out that the way European governments currently seem completely helpless in the face of the second wave makes the U.S. look less bad in comparison, at least for now.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 23 2020 04:43pm